Inflation in the US fell to 2.4% against forecasts for a slowdown to 2.3%. On the other hand, “core” inflation recovered to 3.3%, against forecasts that it would remain unchanged. At the core, services inflation rebounded from 4.3% to 4.4% and accelerated strongly from 0.1% to 0.6% month-on-month (this is the part of the core …
Tag: Eu
Why does the imposition of tariffs create few jobs in the countries that impose them?
The US presidential contenders seem to agree on one thing: Both Donald Trump and Joe Biden have imposed high tariffs on imported goods made in China and other countries. These kinds of protectionist policies are a departure from the policies of the previous half century that favored “free trade” (less or minimal government intervention in …
After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?
The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
Target 2 is a nightmare for France and other EU member countries
In France, President Emmanuel Macron accuses Lepen and the right or other far-right that if he comes to power – which is a given, based on the opinion polls so far it reaches 35% – that chaos will be caused in the French debt. They said the same about Italy but they say nothing about …
We are nearing the End of the Debt Supercycle
“The 2024 deficit will represent 7% of US gross domestic product while the 2034 deficit will be 6.9% of GDP,” the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) wrote in its latest report. This makes it easy: 7% over a decade roughly doubles the US debt. The CBO now projects this year’s deficit at $2 trillion, a …
The European economy will die a slow death day by day – Unless something changes immediately
Europe’s economic underperformance has long worried politicians. But the problem has climbed to the top of the debate agenda now that the development gap with the US has widened, following the twin shocks of the coronavirus pandemic and Russia’s war in Ukraine. Last month, French President Emmanuel Macron warned that Europe faces a “mortal” threat …
EU: 50% of Energy in industry came from fossil fuels by 2022
Electricity at 33.3% and natural gas at 31.2% made up almost two-thirds (64.5%) of the final energy consumption of the EU industrial sector in 2022, according to data from to the public the European statistical agency Eurostat. The industry sector in the EU continues to rely heavily on fossil fuels, which accounted for just over …
The next financial crisis in Europe will start from France and Italy
In recent years, a new type of crisis has been dynamically emerging in Europe: a crisis of the European social and political model with profound consequences for fiscal and financial stability. France’s problem The big problem starts with exceeding the budget deficits in France and Italy, over 7% and over 5% for 2024 respectively. These …
The “bubble” of the Global Public Debt of 313 trillion dollar will cause an Economic shock
The skyrocketing global debt has become the main problem for the global economy – even if this is being hidden for obvious reasons by the global political elite and the systemic media. Public deficits for anyone with even the slightest understanding of the workings of the economy can neither act as reserves for the private …
FED – ECB: Inflationary landmine with interest rate cuts – Trump victory in the US is the key scenario
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) argued that a pick-up in rent inflation—the index rose unexpectedly sharply in January’s CPI—was due to a shift in the data series that could either mean that the change was a structural shift in values or indeed an error which could be fixed at a later stage. Conclusion; No …