2025 is shaping up to be one of the most tense years in the history of global trade. Almost immediately after taking office, Donald Trump reimposed tariffs on China for a second time, and in early April he imposed sanctions on a large number of countries and territories around the world. Since then, the international …
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Economic Dominance – Why is Trump acquiring “Golden” shares in critical industrial champions in the US?
In the first nine months of his second term, President Trump has overseen a government raid into the boardrooms of strategic corporations. Trump has unveiled a plan to weaken the dollar to boost U.S. exports and reduce its trade deficit with countries around the world, while attempting to rebuild the country’s industrial base and restore …
Commodities: Record 45% drop in cocoa prices, from 12 to 5 thousand/ton
The cocoa market is in free fall. Prices have collapsed, recording a record 45% drop since January 2025. The price of a ton of cocoa is now at 5,000 US dollars, with the share of Ivory Coast and Ghana in global production at 60%. A recent analysis of the global credit insurance industry reveals what …
China’s Real Estate – A $18.9 Trillion Debt Bomb at the Foundation of the Global Economy
China is facing the most serious economic challenge in its modern history, as the ongoing collapse of the real estate market has triggered an unprecedented debt crisis, exposing the fragile foundations on which the “Chinese miracle” was built. Today, the debts of local governments and their financing vehicles (LGFVs) have soared to 134 trillion yuan, …
Why is the calculation of “real GDP”, which subtracts inflation, even more misleading?
In today’s climate of increasing economic stagnation, politicians and central bankers continue to talk obsessively about “growth.” This narrative, as Trust Economics points out, is not based on real economic data but on a profound misunderstanding of what GDP measures. In fact, the concept of economic growth, as it is currently presented, is a statistical …
Inflationary money from central banks will cause global shock and poverty
The Federal Reserve – and all central banks – is blamed as the main cause of inflation through its policy of “currency devaluation,” which systematically destroys the value of Americans’ savings, assets, and wages. A “political-inflationary vicious cycle” is documented, where the government prints money to finance spending, causing prices to rise, which then leads …
Five factors that scare Capital markets in the short term
Persistent inflation threatens to upset the Federal Reserve’s plans, the possibility of a sharp Nvidia correction is shaking the foundations of Big Tech, while the prospect of a new trade war from Donald Trump is creating intense geopolitical uncertainty. With data worsening and scenarios of instability multiplying, investors are looking for answers at a time …
China is the leading shadow lender to the Developed Economies
A report released Tuesday, November 18, 2025, by the AidData research arm of the University of William & Mary in Williamsburg, Virginia, comes to the startling conclusion that the United States is the largest recipient of loans from China. The report, titled “Chasing China: Learning to Play by Beijing’s Global Lending Rules“, found that 1,193 …
Will Japan become the next center of a global debt crisis?
The sell-off in Japanese bonds is a warning to global economies. As yields – particularly at longer maturities – soar and demand collapses, Japan is becoming a case study in what happens when investors lose patience with huge deficits and debt. Japan’s government bond market is currently facing an existential crisis, marked by a sharp …
The “yield” from renting gold bars (gold carry trade)?
The price of gold continues to break historical records in 2025 and wealthy investors have found a new way to make use of their bars: they “rent” them to jewelers and manufacturing companies, earning returns without selling a single gram. Until recently, gold was considered the ultimate “dead” capital: safe, stable, but with no return. …