Beijing has a powerful tool to respond to President-elect Donald Trump’s threatened new tariffs on Chinese goods: it could launch a currency war, a step that carries dire risks for both China and the United States — and certainly for the global economy. Depreciating the value of China’s currency, the yuan, against the dollar would …
Category: PUBLICATIONS
The falsely called “primary surplus” of the Greek Government’s budget is a statistical trick
In the new budget submitted to Parliament, the deficit increases from 5.7 billion in 2024 to 5.9 billion in 2025. If all public bodies, legal entities, hospitals, social security funds (SSFs) and municipalities are included, some of which obviously have a surplus, then the deficit of the so-called General Government is limited to 1.4 billion …
EU will suffer a loss of 260 billion from Trump tariffs – Markets crash from -15% to -20%
If Donald Trump follows through on his promises and imposes tariffs on European goods imported into the US, then the continent will truly be plunged into a deep recession. Donald Trump’s victory could hurt Europe’s economy, as the proposed 10% US tariffs risk hitting European exports such as cars and chemicals, eroding Europe’s GDP by …
2025 will be a year of shock and awe because of Ukraine – Stocks, bonds and real estate
The geopolitical situation is more precarious than ever in world history due to the crises in Ukraine and the Middle East. The “deep state” in the US, the neocons led by Biden, are doing everything they can to provoke World War III, provoking Russia with missiles from the US and the UK launched deep into …
The dollar is not money but credit – The Ponzi scheme and the road to collapse
With widening budget deficits, rising debt, and interest payments that can only be serviced by issuing a currency of decreasing value, the dollar can only be described as an elaborate Ponzi scheme at the nation-state level. Dollars are backed by debt, which requires infinite economic growth to service – it is a credit-based currency. Without …
Trump’s options to deflate Μarket Βubbles
As future Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. said, “a revolution is coming,” in reference to Trump’s election in the recent U.S. election. Depending on one’s political perspective, such a “revolution” is either music to the ears or “American-style fascism.” Nothing will change the polarized views of those who have already chosen …
Anger over high cost of living has brought down 70% of governments in developed countries
Donald Trump’s victory over Kamala Harris and the Democrats in the November 5 elections represents part of a broader phenomenon: Most governments in developed economies have been swept away by public anger over rising prices. And this despite the mainstream media and political elites saying that inflation has been… defeated and everything is returning to …
What will investors punish after the failure of the FED?
A paradoxical phenomenon occurred in the course of US interest rate cuts: Instead of falling, they moved higher in the medium term. The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by half a percentage point in September, raising expectations that other interest rates will soon begin to cut as well. By contrast, two-year and 10-year …
The impact of Trump’s duties will be limited – what will happen to the dollar?
Much is said and heard of the Trump economic policy and its impact on both the US and the rest of the world. The dominant media, as they propagated the defeat of the Democratic candidate, so they sow trampophobia – they forget, of course, to say that the economy worldwide was going on in Trump. …
The new era of tariffs and the return of economic nationalism
One of the most surprising developments in the recent American political debate has been the bipartisan consensus against free trade. Just a decade ago, Democrats and Republicans generally championed free trade as part of their support for the neoliberal order—unimpeded movement of goods and capital. But with the 2024 presidential election, both Republican Donald Trump …