China is facing the most serious economic challenge in its modern history, as the ongoing collapse of the real estate market has triggered an unprecedented debt crisis, exposing the fragile foundations on which the “Chinese miracle” was built. Today, the debts of local governments and their financing vehicles (LGFVs) have soared to 134 trillion yuan, …
Category: Developed Economies
analysis for Developed economies
China is the leading shadow lender to the Developed Economies
A report released Tuesday, November 18, 2025, by the AidData research arm of the University of William & Mary in Williamsburg, Virginia, comes to the startling conclusion that the United States is the largest recipient of loans from China. The report, titled “Chasing China: Learning to Play by Beijing’s Global Lending Rules“, found that 1,193 …
Will Japan become the next center of a global debt crisis?
The sell-off in Japanese bonds is a warning to global economies. As yields – particularly at longer maturities – soar and demand collapses, Japan is becoming a case study in what happens when investors lose patience with huge deficits and debt. Japan’s government bond market is currently facing an existential crisis, marked by a sharp …
IMF to EU: Reduce spending on health, education and abolish benefits, otherwise bankruptcy
Europe’s soaring public debt levels should prompt governments to rethink their role in delivering essential services to EU citizens, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which sees an urgent need to impose shock measures on economies that would overturn the famous European model. In a study published on Tuesday, November 4 (“Regional Economic Outlook …
US and China lead markets to hell in 2026
China’s economic slowdown is drawing a lot of attention in Manhattan boardrooms. While Asia’s largest economy is not faltering, its 4.8% growth rate in the third quarter—the slowest this year—is sending up warning signs everywhere. Even the positives come with (serious) asterisks. For now, external demand is keeping China on track for this year’s 5% …
The strategy of de-dependence of Europe on oil and natural gas, respectively, from Russia
European Union energy ministers have backed the bloc’s proposals to phase out imports by January 2028. The EU wants to gradually phase out Russian oil and gas imports in an effort to “deprive the Kremlin of the revenue it uses to finance the war” in Ukraine. The punitive measures are considered temporary and could be …
Mammoth debt,War, the AI bubble bursts
Artificial intelligence, which was presented as the “revolution that will save the world economy,” is now turning into a nightmare for investors and businesses. At the same time, geopolitical tensions are escalating… A view from the future In this context, Vladimir Putin has achieved significant successes in the war against Ukraine and has begun to …
The ECB is secretly rescuing France, while in 2010 it threw Greece into the jaws of the markets
The European Central Bank (ECB), especially after the Greek adventure, has a long history of intervening in government bond markets in order to contain yields during periods of turmoil in the debt market. However, this is not an exercise of monetary policy but an intervention by the Brussels deep state. The most characteristic — and …
Stephen Miran: Trump’s man who will rewrite the rules and end the FED’s independence
Generally speaking, the Fed’s independence is widely understood and supported in principle in Washington, in Congress, where it really matters. The point is that decisions should be made based on the best analysis of the data, on how to achieve its dual goal of price stability and employment, as best it can, for the benefit …
The dollar as a reserve currency is killing the US economy
The advantage of the US having the dollar as the world’s reserve currency is that it creates demand for dollars. Countries accumulate dollars and tend to invest them in US bonds, keeping US borrowing costs low. The curse, especially since Nixon ended the convertibility of the dollar into gold (1971), is that there is no …