The picture in Japan’s debt markets is beginning to resemble a slow but persistent phase shift into a system that for decades operated with artificial stability. From the savior of the monetary system, during the Nixon shock with the largest monetary deal in history, it is now expected to become the culprit of a leveraged …
Category: Developed Economies
analysis for Developed economies
The plunge in the yen and debt bring economic crisis to the Land of the Rising Sun
Japan, with its huge debt and the yen’s slide, is bidding to be the star of the biggest economic and financial crisis in human history. The political career of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is sinking almost as fast as the yen these days — and the two developments are closely linked. The yen has …
Trump tariffs cost US households and businesses $100 billion a year
The new tariffs imposed by the administration of US President Donald Trump are expected to cost American consumers and businesses more than $100 billion annually, according to new economic estimates, as Washington escalates its protectionist trade policy again. The new tariff policy is being implemented at a time when international markets are already being tested …
China: $8.1 trillion in losses in the world’s largest banking system
China’s banking system is the largest in the world, with assets of $70.3 trillion – more than those of the US and the European Union combined. Officially, “non-performing loans” (NPLs) do not exceed 1.52%. However, the reality of the Chinese economy – with house prices having fallen by 23% since 2021, new prices falling for …
Strengthening Economic resilience as a growth lever in the Eurozone
The very recent developments with the ceasefire and the prospect of an agreement between the US and Iran, provided they do not prove fragile, may allow for a more positive reassessment of the prospects, but the main question is the medium-term resilience of the European economy and its potential, given that external crises (such as …
China is gradually abandoning American debt, fearing a collapse of the US economy
For the first time since the end of World War II, the dollar is no longer seen as the sole and undisputed foundation of the international economy. It is not yet a collapse. But it is a gradual erosion of confidence that is spreading from the world’s largest economies to the central banks of emerging …
China’s $1.2 trillion trade surplus & EU’s industrial decline are pushing the euro aside and the yuan is taking its place
Despite the undisputed dominance of the US dollar in the international financial system, developments in recent years have intensified discussions about the de-dollarization of the global economy. And while the dollar still holds the top spot by a wide margin, a new question is gaining increasing importance: can the Chinese yuan overtake the euro and …
The oil shock brings Central Banks into conflict with Governments
Risks to global inflation remain strongly on the upside, as the oil price shock may have longer-lasting and more persistent knock-on effects than initially expected, according to new analysis by Trust Economics. The report’s key finding is that the deflation of inflation in the coming years may prove much slower, particularly in advanced economies and …
USA: The real economy is collapsing, while the historic highs of the stock market show a false picture
President Trump’s panic about the unpleasant situation he faces and the risk of losing his position, comes from the real economy and specifically from the high cost of living with gasoline reaching $4.50 a gallon. The high cost of living for American citizens and the collapse in the polls forced President Trump to cancel Project …
Issuance of Eurobonds worth 4,5 trillion euros is required for Europe’s strategic autonomy
The only obstacle and most important to the issuance of Eurobonds that will finance the EU’s strategic autonomy is Germany. The only major country in the Eurozone with an “excellent” credit rating (AAA) refuses to accept joint borrowing and the issuance of the Eurobond. To achieve the strategic autonomy of the Old Continent requires three …