How Can Fiscal Policy Tackle Stagflation?

Economic policy generally has many objectives. To increase income and employment, to keep prices stable, to ensure the sustainability of public finances, to provide adequate liquidity conditions and so on. Usually these goals relate to reactions to economic disturbances, such as an economic crisis, a pandemic, a war, or anything that threatens the financial well-being …

Stagnant Inflation Management

In recent times, the global economy has entered a strong inflation component based on ever-increasing energy and food prices. If the causes of price increases are limited to the region of Europe, and given that the EU is purely an importer of energy, one could argue that this is an “imported inflation” over which monetary …

Emerging Stagnant-inflation in the Eurozone/EU & USA

Inflation begins to make a threatening appearance in the EU and US since last summer due to a combination of dynamic economic recovery in COVID-19 conditions, serious problems in international trade and supply chains and upward trend in international oil and mainly gas prices. Inflation had reached high levels before the Russian invasion of Ukraine. …

High probability the Price of Brent to Remain over $115 by the End of 2022

The recent EU deal on a Russian oil embargo has put upward pressure and volatility again, with Brent prices hovering well above USD120 last week. Trust Economics (https://trusteconomics.eu) estimates that developments in the oil market are expected to hit growth. The geopolitical risk and the EU agreement will keep oil prices high during the summer …

The Big Dilemma: Interest Rates Increases or Price Controls

The main driving force of inflation in Europe is not excessive demand, but mainly energy market problems and secondarily shortages and consequent price increases in raw materials or intermediate and final goods, due to the war in Ukraine and the Covid pandemic in China. If nominal interest rates rise do you think the problems will …

Big Problems for the European Economy

The development of the war in Ukraine leaves no room for optimism for the European economy. It is clear that the longer the war lasts, the greater its economic impact. At the moment we have the terrible accuracy that comes from inflation, which in turn is due in large part to the energy crisis intensifying …

What Can trigger a Prolonged Global Recession?

With Russia’s war in Ukraine a month away, Trust Economics (https://trusteconomics.eu) has its estimates for the global economy outlook this year. Within this short period of time, forecasts shifted from a limited recovery after COVID to an increasing chance of a full-blown global recession. The chances of a recession are rising, given the volatile inflation …

CIPS: Why are the Chinese happy with the decisions of the EU and the US?

The decision to exclude some Russian banks from the international SWIFT payment system has caused great concern in the global financial system, as its effects are expected to be significant in a number of sectors of the economy. However, in this climate of instability and uncertainty, which is reflected in nervous liquidations in the markets, …

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