The development that the United States will be forced to provide dollar liquidity to the United Arab Emirates and other Persian Gulf states affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz will be very bad news for the “petrodollar”. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has used swap lines with foreign central banks as a key …
Iran will finance its reconstruction by collecting part of the oil revenues of the Persian Gulf states
Following the April 8 ceasefire and Donald Trump’s state-sponsored withdrawal from Iran, it appears that the Iranians will be able to permanently impose a “transit fee” on all oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Bloomberg reported that the Islamic Republic intends to impose a $1 per barrel fee, payable in bitcoin, on every cargo …
Debt is exploding – Oil shock is coming
With strategic oil reserves running dry, energy prices threatening an inflationary holocaust, and the bond market sending out danger signals that suggest the end of Western hegemony, collapse is no longer a hypothetical scenario but a significant possibility. In fact, today’s “calm before the financial boom” seems almost surreal when you compare the hard data …
The EU in Russia’s embrace for energy – Eurasia will unite
As Europe’s economies cannot withstand a wave of subsidies and aid, such as that during the Covid 19 pandemic, which amounted to approximately 1.2 trillion euros, due to the deterioration of the fiscal position of states threatened by over-indebtedness, the priority now is – as one will see below the lines of the International Monetary …
Turkey’s Economy is collapsing
The Turkish economy is facing an unprecedented crisis, as noted, inflation has skyrocketed to record levels, with a huge deviation from forecasts. This unfavorable situation has caused a wave of business closures and intense social and economic instability in the country, with Recep Tayyip Erdogan being called upon to take immediate measures. In particular, after …
The Eight indices who highlighted the dollar’s weakness with the Iran war
In the Strait of Hormuz, the traditional power of the dollar is collapsing in the face of Tehran’s resilience and the new geopolitical balances. Meanwhile, eight indices reveal how the US’s most important economic weapon has lost its effectiveness, signaling the end of an era of undisputed hegemony. In particular, as OPEC members have long …
The energy premium on oil from the markets and how an energy catastrophe is imminent
Global financial markets fell on Sunday, April 12, as S&P 500 futures and Bitcoin fell, while oil prices rose, following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz (12/4) aimed at increasing pressure on Iran to reach an agreement. Trump said via Truth Social that the US Navy …
The architecture of investment decisions in times of crisis
Recent developments in the Middle East are a stark reminder that geopolitical tension can, almost overnight, translate into energy insecurity, trade disruptions, inflationary costs, and heightened financial uncertainty. These changes affect not just the general economic climate, but the very core of strategic and investment decisions: the way boards, investment committees, and senior executives evaluate …
“Rule of 72”: How to know when your money has doubled?
The “Rule of 72” is based on the mathematical concept of compound interest, the way interest rates or returns multiply when earnings are reinvested. The “Rule of 72” has been used by financial professionals, investors, and analysts for decades. Their goal is to quickly and easily get a rough estimate of when an investment is …
The explosion of inflation will cause social explosions and the collapse of the political system
Consumers increasingly find themselves receiving inferior goods and services at higher prices. Living standards have declined significantly in recent years, and the trend is worsening, fueling simmering social anger. Yet for the elite that dominates opinion-forming, it is business as usual as consumption is accelerated by the 10% of those connected to Wall Street who …