In the Strait of Hormuz, the traditional power of the dollar is collapsing in the face of Tehran’s resilience and the new geopolitical balances. Meanwhile, eight indices reveal how the US’s most important economic weapon has lost its effectiveness, signaling the end of an era of undisputed hegemony. In particular, as OPEC members have long …
The energy premium on oil from the markets and how an energy catastrophe is imminent
Global financial markets fell on Sunday, April 12, as S&P 500 futures and Bitcoin fell, while oil prices rose, following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz (12/4) aimed at increasing pressure on Iran to reach an agreement. Trump said via Truth Social that the US Navy …
The architecture of investment decisions in times of crisis
Recent developments in the Middle East are a stark reminder that geopolitical tension can, almost overnight, translate into energy insecurity, trade disruptions, inflationary costs, and heightened financial uncertainty. These changes affect not just the general economic climate, but the very core of strategic and investment decisions: the way boards, investment committees, and senior executives evaluate …
“Rule of 72”: How to know when your money has doubled?
The “Rule of 72” is based on the mathematical concept of compound interest, the way interest rates or returns multiply when earnings are reinvested. The “Rule of 72” has been used by financial professionals, investors, and analysts for decades. Their goal is to quickly and easily get a rough estimate of when an investment is …
The explosion of inflation will cause social explosions and the collapse of the political system
Consumers increasingly find themselves receiving inferior goods and services at higher prices. Living standards have declined significantly in recent years, and the trend is worsening, fueling simmering social anger. Yet for the elite that dominates opinion-forming, it is business as usual as consumption is accelerated by the 10% of those connected to Wall Street who …
The Structural cost of the Yuan’s dominance in the Global monetary system prevents China from becoming a Global leader
Chinese President Xi Jinping’s ambition to turn the yuan into a global reserve currency, potentially displacing the dollar from its hegemonic position in the international monetary system, has been a hot topic of discussion in recent years. As The Liberal Globe, we have reported on the questioning of the dollar system both because of its …
Investment distribution during the Iranian war
Trust Economics, the Εconomic Research and Consulting firm, expects a 58% chance of some form of US-Iran ceasefire by the end of April. But even if a ceasefire is achieved within that timeframe, normalization in the Strait of Hormuz will be much slower. Normality, Trust Economics notes, does not expect to return to “normal operation” …
Central Banks – They are selling US bonds non-stop due to the War in Iran
As the Iran war upends decades of balance sheets, central banks around the world are making a desperate move, dumping U.S. Treasuries at a pace not seen since 2012. Spiking energy prices and suffocating pressure on national currencies are forcing the world’s major economies to liquidate their reserves to avoid a total collapse. It’s a …
Americans face explosive price increases, an energy shock, and continued pressure on incomes
The US-Israeli choice to strike Iran leaves Americans facing explosive price increases, an energy shock and persistent pressure on incomes, in a development that threatens to turn into a widespread economic crisis. The US economy is heading towards a full-scale financial turmoil, as the latest data shows that inflation not only persists, but is accelerating …
Innovation, Green Technologies & resource transfer to high-tech production make China a Global leader in the Economy
The global economy is currently witnessing one of the most fundamental structural shifts in recent decades, taking place at the heart of the Asian market. As the world’s second-largest economy redefines its strategy, the dynamics of international trade and industrial production are changing. At the recent China Development Forum in Beijing, the message was clear: …