Debt and Stagnation threaten Developing Economies

The news brought by the World Bank’s Global Economic Prospects report was not good. First we have the forecast for global growth (https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects). This is now down to 1.7%, well below the 3% previously forecast in June. For developed economies, the forecast is for growth of just 0.5% in 2023, just above the typical recession …

FED: Raised interest rates to 15-year highs

In a new increase in interest rates, this time by 50 basis points, the US Federal Reserve proceeded in an attempt to contain inflation that “runs” at a multiple rate of the 2% target. The Fed’s key dollar lending rate is now in the range of 4.25% to 4.50%, the highest since 2007. Federal Reserve …

The Reasons That Lead the Global Economy to “Difficult Paths”

The world economy is likely to be headed for a new recession and overall a time of difficulties. Things are not so good. This has to do with the combination of a number of structural trends currently permeating the global economy. 1. Inflation is here to stay There is a more structural dimension to inflation, …

The ECB’s aggressive interest rate hike is causing problems for the EU

The ECB’s aggressive interest rate hike is causing problems for everyone in Europe. To citizens who are asked to pay a higher installment on their mortgage or consumer loan, to businesses that are raising the cost of servicing their loans, to states that see their existing bonds collapse, and even to public debt that, instead …

The EU puts an end to Virtual Companies

It is well known the practice of many taxpayers, natural and legal persons, to establish virtual companies (i.e. companies without physical presence and real economic activity) in countries with preferential tax status such as Cyprus, Bulgaria, Ireland, etc., in order to avoid the paying taxes in the country where the income actually arises. The European …

How the ECB Will Force Banks to Raise Deposit Rates

The monetary policy of the EU it seems at the moment to be on the one hand ineffective, on the other hand leading to a dead end causing negative effects on the economy, with no benefits for anyone except the banks who will see their profits increase from the increase in loan rates while they …

A Global Liquidity Crisis is beginning to appear on the Horizon

The dynamics of the global market vis-à-vis all those markets where a global liquidity that in 2019 reached 130 trillion dollars, well above the global GDP of 80 trillion dollars, is looking for a way out, tends to be the most decisive for the developments in the global economy. There are estimates that today this …

The Sustainability of European Industry in the Energy Crisis

Eurometaux is the European agency representing producers, processors and recyclers of non-ferrous metals. Its ranks include some of the largest European industries and the most iconic ones belonging to the respective sectors in Europe, which have a turnover of 120 billion euros and directly employ 500 thousand workers. The text of the positions which he …

Why the EU’s Proposal to Impose a Cap Only on Russian Natural Gas is Wrong?

In the past two weeks the structural pathologies responsible for the EU’s energy gridlock have combined with a series of extreme weather events – such as unprecedented drought – to record unimaginable energy prices. The day-ahead electricity prices in France, the EU’s traditional electricity exporting power, reached on September 2 even above 1,000€/MWh, while natural …

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