Trust Economics, based on trade data, estimates that China could buy up to 250 tons of gold in 2025, an amount equivalent to more than a third of global central bank demand. China’s gold rush is fueling a record price rally as a growing number of shadow transactions create a murky picture for gold traders. …
Category: Developing Economies
analysis for Developing economies
For the Russian economy, the cost of war is becoming increasingly unbearable
The new advance of Russian forces towards the strategically important Pokrovsk, in eastern Ukraine, continues and its possible capture would mark the first major victory for the Russian side since the fall of Bakhmut in 2023. It will not only provide Moscow with a strategic advantage in its goal of fully capturing the energy-rich Donbas. …
US and China lead markets to hell in 2026
China’s economic slowdown is drawing a lot of attention in Manhattan boardrooms. While Asia’s largest economy is not faltering, its 4.8% growth rate in the third quarter—the slowest this year—is sending up warning signs everywhere. Even the positives come with (serious) asterisks. For now, external demand is keeping China on track for this year’s 5% …
The Russian Monetary Miracle with the Ruble – the 40% Strengthening with the Weak Dollar
Kirill Dmitriev, head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) and special envoy of Russian President Vladimir Putin, called the ruble the most successful currency of 2025. The announcement was made via a video message on Telegram. He explained that during the year the ruble strengthened against the dollar by 40%. Earlier, the head of …
The “drama” of the Greek Economy
The economic policy of the Mitsotakis government is limited to ensuring fiscal surpluses and there is no concern for the development of the private sector of the economy. The combination of a policy of containing fiscal spending and increasing tax revenues with a non-existent private sector undermines the growth rate, deprives incomes and jobs, causes …
The US-China currency war is putting the final nail in the coffin of the global economy
The U.S. economy has not faced such a tariff regime in nearly 80 years. It is in a situation without historical precedent and therefore without the possibility of “ready-made recipes.” Given the absence of recent historical precedent, the Federal Reserve is waiting for more evidence that consumer prices are not rising sharply due to tariffs …
A $35 billion bomb of loans from poor countries will explode in China’s hands in 2025
For the first time this century, China’s role has shifted from a major provider of capital, primarily to developing economies, to a lender that claims to service debt. This shift will have far-reaching implications for global credit conditions. It could fuel instability in many parts of the world and lead countries into strategic geopolitical realignments. …
Russia: Oil – natural gas with Bitcoin and foreign exchange reserves in digital gold
Bitcoin and the BRICS group are seen as weapons to reduce Russia’s dependence on the dollar, according to President Vladimir Putin’s monetary strategy. Due to the inability to access the global financial system and international markets, Russia has to choose alternatives, such as trading in local currencies of allied states and even using its gold …
The Central Bank of Russia keeps the key interest rate unchanged for 2025!
At the last meeting of the Board of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation this year, it was decided to leave the key interest rate unchanged – at the level of 21%. This came as a surprise: most analysts were confident that the regulator would continue to tighten monetary policy and increase the index …
China is turning its economy into a war economy to achieve global domination
Drones have already become a primary weapon, capable of taking out soldiers and tanks, as well as helping to spot artillery fire and provide a standard method of battlefield reconnaissance. Electronic warfare — the use of EM signals to disrupt drones’ communication with their pilots and GPS satellites — provides some protection against drones for …