Donald Trump’s trade war and the country’s dire fiscal position risk plunging Britain into a Greek-style debt crisis, investors have warned. Weaker economic output combined with the Treasury’s negative fiscal data are exposing Britain to a “negative growth spiral”. Britain’s £2.7 trillion debt, which exceeds the size of the economy, leaves it vulnerable to the …
Category: Proposed Fiscal Policies
fiscal analysis
Gold is a formidable monetary weapon – the mysteries of Fort Knox and China
One of the most significant long-term effects of this War in Ukraine, regardless of when a peaceful settlement is reached, will be on gold and the dollar. That is, in the realm of an ongoing currency war. When Russia launched its military operation in Ukraine, it overlooked the fact that its central bank had about …
US debt is unsustainable – at 200% if tax cuts become permanent
The US debt is the enduring nightmare of Donald Trump’s economic policy… His presidency, after all, will be judged by whether he deals with it in a credible way. The independent Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated the impact of making the tax cuts permanent. It found that US government-issued debt could soar above 200% …
Why will the recession bomb explode in Trump’s hands?
The U.S. stock market’s downward trend appears to be continuing, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 down 4% and 6% respectively since the beginning of the year. And that’s just one of many signs that should prompt any sensible business leader, investor or policymaker to start preparing for an economic slowdown …
The Greek Economy is Moving on Shattered Ground
The Greek economy is starving, unable to breathe, and this is clearly evident from a survey by the Athens Chamber of Commerce and Industry published last week. The ACC is calling on the government to correct the suffocating situation faced by small and medium-sized enterprises due to government policy. They focus on the following: over-taxation, …
The US is “controlling” debt with inflation
There is an old joke among investors that, in our time, is tragically accurate. Countries start by borrowing from each other. When that trust is gone, they borrow from the banks. And when that source is exhausted, they end up stealing from the people. This theft can appear in various forms: from taxes and special …
Return to the gold standard when Western central bankers dislike gold?
Donald Trump and Elon Musk have been particularly vocal about what’s been going on at Fort Knox lately, the location where America keeps its official gold reserves. Both have said they will visit the place soon to check it out and make sure the gold is there. According to Trump and Musk, they want to …
Trump administration cuts borrowing costs in two ways: Musk’s DOGE in spending and cheaper energy
By sidelining the Federal Reserve in order to lower borrowing costs for Americans, the Donald Trump administration says it will reduce government spending and increase energy supplies. The payoff will be twofold: it will ease inflationary pressures and strengthen the economy’s fiscal position. While President Trump continues to urge the Fed to lower short-term interest …
Can Bitcoin foreign exchange reserves prevent a US bankruptcy?
President Donald Trump has taken bold steps to position the United States as the global leader in the cryptocurrency industry. One of his first acts was to sign a bill titled “Strengthening American Leadership in Digital Financial Technology,” which aims to promote monetary innovation while ensuring regulatory clarity in the crypto space. The bill outlines …
Europe’s Welfare State: expensive and ineffective
European states have the largest welfare systems among OECD members and among the most expensive in the world, symbolizing the post-war social democratic social contract. But all of this has begun to be overturned with the pandemic and later the Ukrainian crisis as a starting point. At the same time, Europe’s economic dynamism has faded …