When the European Commission unveiled its budget proposal for the 2028–2034 period, it proudly spoke of a “budget for a stronger Europe.” Yet, behind the fanfare and the impressive €2 trillion figure lies a completely different—and deeply concerning—reality. As Trust Economics—an economic research and business consultancy firm—points out, Europe is rapidly heading toward a dangerous …
Category: EU
proposed fiscal policies about eu
Oil flows from the Middle East are collapsing… Shock for the EU and Japan
Trust Economics, an economic research and business consultancy firm, noted in a report on September 11 that the physical oil market is now flashing strong warning signals. Export disruptions, shrinking inventories, and the ongoing diesel shortage crisis are converging just as the market heads into the peak demand period of the fourth quarter. The decline …
Greece’s Debt Structure is Holding It Hostage
Greece has taken out loans under English law worth 216 billion euros and these must be repaid and replaced with government bonds over a period of approximately 44 years, that is, they will be financed by the markets, banks and international investment funds. Due to this reality, the Greek debt cannot be reduced in substance …
Germany loses AAA rating
Germany is expected to take on more than 1 trillion euros in additional debt by 2030, while its economy remains almost stagnant and its economic model is in crisis due to competition from China. Rating agencies may downgrade the country’s credit rating. In this case, the effects could also reach citizens, significantly lowering their standard …
Strengthening Economic resilience as a growth lever in the Eurozone
The very recent developments with the ceasefire and the prospect of an agreement between the US and Iran, provided they do not prove fragile, may allow for a more positive reassessment of the prospects, but the main question is the medium-term resilience of the European economy and its potential, given that external crises (such as …
China’s $1.2 trillion trade surplus & EU’s industrial decline are pushing the euro aside and the yuan is taking its place
Despite the undisputed dominance of the US dollar in the international financial system, developments in recent years have intensified discussions about the de-dollarization of the global economy. And while the dollar still holds the top spot by a wide margin, a new question is gaining increasing importance: can the Chinese yuan overtake the euro and …
The oil shock brings Central Banks into conflict with Governments
Risks to global inflation remain strongly on the upside, as the oil price shock may have longer-lasting and more persistent knock-on effects than initially expected, according to new analysis by Trust Economics. The report’s key finding is that the deflation of inflation in the coming years may prove much slower, particularly in advanced economies and …
Issuance of Eurobonds worth 4,5 trillion euros is required for Europe’s strategic autonomy
The only obstacle and most important to the issuance of Eurobonds that will finance the EU’s strategic autonomy is Germany. The only major country in the Eurozone with an “excellent” credit rating (AAA) refuses to accept joint borrowing and the issuance of the Eurobond. To achieve the strategic autonomy of the Old Continent requires three …
The German model of the “Fiscal Debt Brake” is registered as a Fiscal Rule in the Constitution of Greece
The European Commission’s study on the sustainability of the debt of its member states (Debt Sustainability Monitor 2025) predicts for Greece that its public debt will remain more than double the Maastricht limit of 60% in the medium term (at 124% of GDP in 2036). In essence, the current Greek governments are implementing a political …
The Miracle of the Polish Economy without the Euro
Poland’s economy surpassed $1 trillion last year, capping decades of dynamic growth that contrasts sharply with the fragile economies of its much larger European neighbors, such as Germany or France. The milestone, confirmed by data released by the country’s statistics office on Friday (January 30), likely put Poland among the world’s top 20 economies by …