The collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 was symbolic of a deep global financial crisis, centered on the housing bubble and subprime mortgages. Increasing natural disasters are straining insurance companies, leading to policy cancellations, rising premiums, and ultimately falling property prices. More and more areas in the U.S. are losing their insurance coverage, which in …
Tag: USA
Markets brace for volatility in stocks, oil price increase after ceasefire Israel-Iran
Investors are bracing for volatility in global stock markets as the US airstrike on Iran over the weekend raises the risk of escalating tensions in the Middle East and a possible spike in oil prices, sending shockwaves through energy, trade and shipping markets. Volatility is expected to dominate markets in Asia, Europe and Wall Street. …
Risk of another bank run – How is the US banking system hiding losses on government bonds?
Accounting rules are designed to enhance transparency and facilitate accurate financial valuation, but they can also mask an organisation’s true financial health. Today, a common accounting trick could be to cover up systemic risks in the US banking system by hiding the significant depreciation of commercial banks’ bond portfolios. When a company buys bonds such …
A possible wave of hyperinflation could drown Western economies if the Strait of Hormuz is closed
A major disruption to global energy supplies as a result of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz could cause a sharp and sustained rise in oil prices, further fueling inflationary pressures already weighing on consumers and businesses. In more detail: Israel’s attack on Iran on Friday, June 12, 2025, has catapulted their long-running conflict …
Credit Default Swaps are back for the US
Credit Default Swaps, or CDS, are a type of security that provides protection against default on bonds. Investors are worried that the U.S. government may struggle to pay its debts — and are buying insurance to protect themselves in the event of a default. The cost of insuring exposure to U.S. government debt has been …
Trust Economics: A new Global cycle of terror is underway
The world is on a grim and unpredictable path, with geopolitical upheaval, military conflicts, and economic derailments creating an explosive combination with unpredictable consequences. The Middle East looks like a powder keg ready to explode, as Israel and Iran are one step away from open conflict. Meanwhile, the United States is sinking deeper into a …
Is a Global bond market crash possible?
Liquidations, steepening and sell-off – The new phase of volatility in global bonds has begun. At a time when the positive side of the distribution curve in US stocks was starting to gain interest again (as we were approaching the point of exercise of options dealers’ “short” positions above 6,000 units of the S&P 500), …
The Fed is secretly buying billions of dollars worth of US bonds – What does this mean?
The US Federal Reserve has quietly made a major move — in four days last week, without any publicity, the Fed has withdrawn $43.6 billion in US Treasury bonds. That’s $8.8 billion in long-term 30-year bonds on May 8 alone, plus another $34.8 billion earlier in the week. Not exactly small change. Quietly returning monetary …
US Federal Government Debt: Bond Purchase by Stablecoin Issuers – End of Extortion
The difficult equation of how to keep the dollar as the global reserve currency and at the same time depreciate its value so that the US economy can regain competitiveness and reduce its trade deficits with the rest of the world is up to the Donald Trump administration – and all this against the backdrop …
Nine indicators that indicate a high probability of an economic crisis in the United States
The financialization of the economy in the last quarter of the 20th century created a global “bubble” that is now bursting, starting with the United States. The 2008/2009 financial crisis in the United States and then the debt crisis in the Eurozone, with Greece as the main protagonist, were apparently only the first episodes of …