Category: Developed Economies
analysis for Developed economies
The US-China currency war is putting the final nail in the coffin of the global economy
The U.S. economy has not faced such a tariff regime in nearly 80 years. It is in a situation without historical precedent and therefore without the possibility of “ready-made recipes.” Given the absence of recent historical precedent, the Federal Reserve is waiting for more evidence that consumer prices are not rising sharply due to tariffs …
Markets demand fiscal discipline – US, France, Britain and Italy on the brink of the abyss
The fiscal position of many advanced economies has deteriorated dramatically, it is now a well-established picture. The nightmare of the debt crisis has shifted from peripheral economies like Greece to the major players. Recently, the spotlight has turned to the United States, where the “One, Big, Beautiful Act” has credited the White House with large …
Public revenues directly to the EU – Euro-taxes for “green” transition, weapons, businesses, stock exchanges and crypto
At a time when the economies of the member states are in stagnation, the European Parliament is urgently calling for the creation of new, permanent mechanisms for financing the EU budget in order for the Union to meet its increased financial obligations and cope with the new economic environment shaped by President Trump’s tariff policy. …
Trump imposes capital controls on foreign investors
Donald Trump is making a dramatic move that could change the face of global capital flows – access to the world’s largest market will not be free. To participate in the US financial system, which is the deepest and most liquid in the world, comes at a significant cost. Following the swift passage of the …
Trump “privatizes” the dollar (Genius Act) and hands it over to Big Tech – The end of the Fed with stable coins
Donald Trump’s attempt to expand the dollar system through stablecoins. Trump wants to limit the supply of the dollar and its parity in order to reduce trade deficits while at the same time not wanting the US currency to lose its privileged status as the world’s reserve currency. This can be successfully done by integrating …
US Federal Government Debt: Bond Purchase by Stablecoin Issuers – End of Extortion
The difficult equation of how to keep the dollar as the global reserve currency and at the same time depreciate its value so that the US economy can regain competitiveness and reduce its trade deficits with the rest of the world is up to the Donald Trump administration – and all this against the backdrop …
Great Britain faces a serious debt crisis due to tariffs and deficits
Donald Trump’s trade war and the country’s dire fiscal position risk plunging Britain into a Greek-style debt crisis, investors have warned. Weaker economic output combined with the Treasury’s negative fiscal data are exposing Britain to a “negative growth spiral”. Britain’s £2.7 trillion debt, which exceeds the size of the economy, leaves it vulnerable to the …
Gold is a formidable monetary weapon – the mysteries of Fort Knox and China
One of the most significant long-term effects of this War in Ukraine, regardless of when a peaceful settlement is reached, will be on gold and the dollar. That is, in the realm of an ongoing currency war. When Russia launched its military operation in Ukraine, it overlooked the fact that its central bank had about …
US debt is unsustainable – at 200% if tax cuts become permanent
The US debt is the enduring nightmare of Donald Trump’s economic policy… His presidency, after all, will be judged by whether he deals with it in a credible way. The independent Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated the impact of making the tax cuts permanent. It found that US government-issued debt could soar above 200% …