Serious cracks are appearing in the bullish narrative of international stock markets, as – according to an analysis by Trust Economics – the three main pillars that supported the bull market in stocks are weakening. The market picture is changing rapidly and if the deterioration of technical and macroeconomic indicators continues, the next stage for …
Category: PUBLICATIONS
Energy crisis with Iran is driving up inflation and killing industry in the EU
The European Union had years to prepare for an energy crisis after the 2022 shock. Thanks to a mild winter and ample supply from the United States, the European gas crisis was far less severe than many feared. However, the continent avoided blackouts and economic collapse largely thanks to a combination of good luck in …
Artificial Intelligence: How is innovation, startups and investment activity affected?
The investment world is currently experiencing a new frenzy as a result of the Artificial Intelligence (AI) wave that is radically reshaping the business landscape. This momentum creates enormous opportunities for rapid capital appreciation, but at the same time raises the risk of a new bubble — possibly bigger than the dot-com bubble. Although artificial …
The German model of the “Fiscal Debt Brake” is registered as a Fiscal Rule in the Constitution of Greece
The European Commission’s study on the sustainability of the debt of its member states (Debt Sustainability Monitor 2025) predicts for Greece that its public debt will remain more than double the Maastricht limit of 60% in the medium term (at 124% of GDP in 2036). In essence, the current Greek governments are implementing a political …
The Fake $1.25 trillion SpaceX-xAI Merger will lead to a Global Financial storm
In the era of mega-mergers, share buybacks, and cheap money since the 2008 crisis, the idea that stock prices reflect real value has become a gimmick. The recent, much-talked-about $1.25 trillion merger between SpaceX and xAI could well lead to a global financial storm, mentioned Thanos Chonthrogiannis, Chief Economist of Trust Economics . The risks …
How can a country (i.e. USA) with huge debt be saved by restarting its Economy without causing Social chaos?
What is the invisible foundation of the narrative about the depreciation of the US dollar? Let us recall that it is a key goal of the Trump 2.0 administration to address the fiscal derailment and the persistent trade deficits. The Winners and the Losers This leads to the following reasoning: if those who hold the …
“Transient but systemic inflation” creates Hyperinflation and a Financial storm
A subterranean but structural shift is taking place in the world of finance, a redefinition of the very scourge that is eroding the foundations of the global economy. What governments and central bankers call “temporary inflation” is in fact a “systemic cancer,” the direct result of decades of monetary corruption of real economic values. This …
Energy havoc on the foundations of Europe’s industry
The entire European Union is experiencing a growing economic decline – factories are closing or quietly reducing their production. Chemical industries, steel mills, fertilizer producers – the most energy-intensive sectors of the economy – are either migrating out of Europe or shutting down altogether. This is not a cyclical downturn. It is structural decline. Europe …
What do we expect from the markets?
Increased positions in stocks, maintaining cash at historically low levels, optimism about global growth and corporate profits, but also fears about geopolitical conflicts and valuations of AI technology giants are what Trust Economics sees for 2026. More specifically: Trust Economics’ expectations for global growth are at their highest level since July 2021, while cash levels …
The dollar’s collapse is irreversible
The recent rally in the US dollar is expected to prove short-lived, with the currency stabilizing temporarily before returning to a broader decline later in the year. Markets are still holding on to expectations of interest rate cuts, as concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve intensify. The dollar has fallen nearly 11% since …