The European elite has recently been expressing the arrogant ambition that the euro will benefit from the decline in the dollar’s power as a reserve currency. They are selling this fairy tale, of course, to impose their suicidal geopolitical orientation against Russia, the incredible austerity that the program for the rearmament of Europe will bring, …
Category: Economics
A possible wave of hyperinflation could drown Western economies if the Strait of Hormuz is closed
A major disruption to global energy supplies as a result of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz could cause a sharp and sustained rise in oil prices, further fueling inflationary pressures already weighing on consumers and businesses. In more detail: Israel’s attack on Iran on Friday, June 12, 2025, has catapulted their long-running conflict …
Trust Economics: A new Global cycle of terror is underway
The world is on a grim and unpredictable path, with geopolitical upheaval, military conflicts, and economic derailments creating an explosive combination with unpredictable consequences. The Middle East looks like a powder keg ready to explode, as Israel and Iran are one step away from open conflict. Meanwhile, the United States is sinking deeper into a …
The Fed is secretly buying billions of dollars worth of US bonds – What does this mean?
The US Federal Reserve has quietly made a major move — in four days last week, without any publicity, the Fed has withdrawn $43.6 billion in US Treasury bonds. That’s $8.8 billion in long-term 30-year bonds on May 8 alone, plus another $34.8 billion earlier in the week. Not exactly small change. Quietly returning monetary …
Trump’s Political Victory with Trade Deals
Trump’s April 2 “Liberation Day” tariff announcement sparked sharp volatility in U.S. government debt and equity markets, with the S&P 500 index falling as much as 15% and borrowing costs rising. Markets have stabilized after Trump suspended most of the retaliatory tariffs, but concerns remain that the president’s policy changes could dampen foreign investor enthusiasm …
Nine indicators that indicate a high probability of an economic crisis in the United States
The financialization of the economy in the last quarter of the 20th century created a global “bubble” that is now bursting, starting with the United States. The 2008/2009 financial crisis in the United States and then the debt crisis in the Eurozone, with Greece as the main protagonist, were apparently only the first episodes of …
The Global economy reaches the “limits of growth” closing a 200-year Global Wealth cycle – The new Historic Wealth cycle
The global economy is at a major crossroads, and we must prepare for rapid economic change. The world is moving from having enough goods and services for everyone to not having enough to meet needs. The dynamics of the economy are very different when there are not enough goods and services for everyone. The sought-after …
The trade war is becoming monetary – Dilemma whether to devalue their currency
Uncertainty over US policy has led to a flight from the dollar and US bonds, with the dollar index down more than 9% so far this year. The dollar’s decline has led to other currencies appreciating against it, notably safe havens such as the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc and the euro. Currency depreciation is …
Tariffs and the $3 trillion held by Asian central banks that make them punishers in the US bond market
Great turmoil, great situation – to use a phrase from former Chinese President Mao Zedong to sum up the trade war declared by President Trump. The dollar extended its biggest plunge in three years on Friday, April 11, after China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 125% from 84%, a step up in tensions that …
Trump’s Game Theory Sweeps the International Order
The United States has always been the leader of the free world. Certainly, after the extreme swings of recent weeks, it seems that the worst-case scenario regarding tariffs has been averted. However, we should not forget that tariff levels are still significantly higher than they were before Trump’s “Liberation Day,” even if they are not …