One of the most surprising developments in the recent American political debate has been the bipartisan consensus against free trade. Just a decade ago, Democrats and Republicans generally championed free trade as part of their support for the neoliberal order—unimpeded movement of goods and capital. But with the 2024 presidential election, both Republican Donald Trump …
Tag: US
China: The Strategic Moves, Trade and Sanctions It Prepares for Currency War Against the Dollar
Financial security has become an integral part of China’s national security strategy since the Asian financial crisis of 1997 – when the so-called Asian Tigers collapsed. Rising geopolitical tensions with the US and the West in general since 2018 and Western economic sanctions against Russia have further prompted Chinese policymakers to strengthen the economy’s financial …
The Challenges that the US Economy will face in 2024
US economic data show fiscal derailment as debt servicing costs rise, which will cast doubt on US geopolitical commitments to Ukraine and Israel, but also set the stage for tax hikes and deflation pressure on stock prices. This highlights that in 2024 the focus will not be on the question of rising interest rates – …
Euro-Dollar Parity 1:1- Europe takes Steps Backwards Compared to the US
Each currency reflects the reality in the economy and is a tool of a specific economic policy. Reflecting at the same time, the general situation of the period, it is a matter of time, as everything shows, for the parity of the euro against the dollar to reach the absolute one-to-one and to fall below …
How Can Fiscal Policy Tackle Stagflation?
Economic policy generally has many objectives. To increase income and employment, to keep prices stable, to ensure the sustainability of public finances, to provide adequate liquidity conditions and so on. Usually these goals relate to reactions to economic disturbances, such as an economic crisis, a pandemic, a war, or anything that threatens the financial well-being …
Stagnant Inflation Management
In recent times, the global economy has entered a strong inflation component based on ever-increasing energy and food prices. If the causes of price increases are limited to the region of Europe, and given that the EU is purely an importer of energy, one could argue that this is an “imported inflation” over which monetary …
7 of the Fed’s 8 Rising Rates Periods (1955-present) ended in Recession in the US
The US Federal Reserve has already raised its lending rate by 75 basis points over the past two months. Money markets anticipate further increases of at least 200 basis points by the end of 2022. The European Central Bank (ECB) has announced the end of its government bond-buying program in the third quarter of 2022 …
Smaller in Absolute Size but, Bigger the US Budget Deficit
Due to the rapid recovery of the US economy, the Biden government predicts that this year the Federal Budget deficit will be $555 billion lower than the corresponding budget in May. In absolute numbers, the forecast is for a deficit of $3.12 trillion for the financial year ending September 30, 2021. The deficits are not …
Upcoming US Inflation Rise Will Reduce Consumer Income
Economists know that after a sharp drop in demand levels that these large amounts of declining demand are only caused by wars or global epidemics, inflation is the indicator size that will rise after the end of the problem due to declining demand. drastically reducing any disposable income of consumers-citizens. This is due to four …
G20: The US Proposal for the New Architecture of the Global Tax System
Discussions in the OECD on the taxation of the digital economy propose the creation of rights to tax jurisdictions on the profits of multinational companies operating in the global digitised economy. In addition, it is proposed to apply a minimum effective corporate tax rate. In April, the US at both the G20 summit and the …