With strategic oil reserves running dry, energy prices threatening an inflationary holocaust, and the bond market sending out danger signals that suggest the end of Western hegemony, collapse is no longer a hypothetical scenario but a significant possibility. In fact, today’s “calm before the financial boom” seems almost surreal when you compare the hard data …
Tag: Trust Economics
Inflationary shock and Interest rates are crashing Debt markets
Government bond prices collapsed globally as investors rushed to bet on higher interest rates after major central banks showed renewed concern that rising oil prices would trigger an inflationary shock. Three weeks after the start of the Iran war, the fallout has put upward pressure on short-term bond yields, defying until recently widespread expectations that …
Iran will abolish the Petrodollar and replace it with the Petroyuan
The dollar’s hegemony, which for decades was protected by the dominance of the “petrodollar,” is now facing an existential threat that cannot be questioned. Indeed, the escalating conflict with Iran is not just a regional dispute, but the catalyst that triggers the dissolution of the historic 1974 agreement. With the cracks in the Middle Eastern …
The Three pillars of the bull market are collapsing
Serious cracks are appearing in the bullish narrative of international stock markets, as – according to an analysis by Trust Economics – the three main pillars that supported the bull market in stocks are weakening. The market picture is changing rapidly and if the deterioration of technical and macroeconomic indicators continues, the next stage for …
What do we expect from the markets?
Increased positions in stocks, maintaining cash at historically low levels, optimism about global growth and corporate profits, but also fears about geopolitical conflicts and valuations of AI technology giants are what Trust Economics sees for 2026. More specifically: Trust Economics’ expectations for global growth are at their highest level since July 2021, while cash levels …
The dollar’s collapse is irreversible
The recent rally in the US dollar is expected to prove short-lived, with the currency stabilizing temporarily before returning to a broader decline later in the year. Markets are still holding on to expectations of interest rate cuts, as concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve intensify. The dollar has fallen nearly 11% since …
The Miracle of the Polish Economy without the Euro
Poland’s economy surpassed $1 trillion last year, capping decades of dynamic growth that contrasts sharply with the fragile economies of its much larger European neighbors, such as Germany or France. The milestone, confirmed by data released by the country’s statistics office on Friday (January 30), likely put Poland among the world’s top 20 economies by …
Trust Economics’ advice on creating resilient portfolios and hedging strategies
With 2026 just around the corner, Trust Economics offers useful strategies to enhance portfolio resilience, effectively manage risk and maximize returns in an ever-evolving world. Trust Economics’ advice focuses on the need to create a strong “core” in a portfolio and the importance of diversification and hedging strategies to ensure long-term growth and stability. The …
The Dangers of the Huge Stimulus Packages Coming to the US and Eurozone
Both the US and European economies are preparing to receive strong fiscal and monetary stimulus packages, without even being in recession, as is traditionally the case when such stimulus packages are implemented in the economy. Trust Economics specifically refers to the following stimulus packages: Markets are already reacting… In the past two weeks, markets have …
Three Decisive “blows” that will either subjugate the EU or lead it on a new Independent Path
Thanos Chonthrogiannis, Chief Economist at Trust Economics, lists the three major shocks that have disrupted the economy, technology and geopolitics of the EU. The defeat in strategic areas, the submission to US pressure and the return of savage austerity will seal the path of Europe as we knew it, either leading it to a harsh …