The era of low interest rates and “easy money” is over, despite the dominant narrative in the international financial press of a new round of monetary policy easing that will return economies to pre-pandemic health crisis status and the prophecies of monetary policy makers policy that set the benchmark for monetary policy easing next June …
Tag: interest rates
FED – ECB: Inflationary landmine with interest rate cuts – Trump victory in the US is the key scenario
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) argued that a pick-up in rent inflation—the index rose unexpectedly sharply in January’s CPI—was due to a shift in the data series that could either mean that the change was a structural shift in values or indeed an error which could be fixed at a later stage. Conclusion; No …
Why is it a criminal mistake to bail out bankrupt banks?
Silvergate Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank collapsed like dominoes between March and April 2023. The United States Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) proceeded with a previous intervention in order to stop the transmission of the crisis to the regional banks and to the …
New York Community Bank sparks another round of bank failures
The US banking system is reeling as the commercial real estate market may turn out to be as toxic as the subprime mortgages that led to the 2008/2009 crisis. At the same time, approximately 1 trillion dollars are the loans that the official banking sector has granted to the shadow financial system – how much …
Interest rate cuts will send Corporate debt into “junk” bonds
The announced interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will lead to lower yields on junk bonds. In other words, for a company with a very low credit rating, it will lead its debt to the category of “junk” bonds. The question is whether investors will be willing to take on the greater risk of …
The ECB’s high interest rates will “test” the Economies of the Southern Eurozone member countries
Although interest rate hikes appear to be peaking in the EU, the southern member states of the Eurozone should expect a lot of pain in the coming years. More specifically, last year’s ECB interest rate hikes are expected to have a greater impact on southern than northern eurozone countries in 2024. And given that asset …
How the growing budget deficit is destroying the US economy?
A cursory look at the US economic growth data shows that they continue to defy expectations of a slowdown and recession due to continued increases in deficit-increasing government spending. In fact, the U.S. Treasury recently announced the December budget deficit, which shows that the U.S. collected $429 billion through various taxes, while total federal budget …
FED reopens liquidity floodgates with new QE in April 2024 – creates problem for dollar
On December 13, the financial world was stunned when, just two weeks after Jerome Powell said it was “premature” to make assumptions about interest rate cuts, the Federal Reserve made a shocking U-turn, heralding the end of monetary tightening – even though inflation is at levels twice the 2% target. The Federal Reserve’s 180-degree U-turn …
The battle with inflation and recession is becoming increasingly difficult
The entire financial press’ narrative of a “soft landing” of the economy – US and global – and avoidance of recession is fostered through the “uses” of the FED and ECB, with the former fueling investor expectations for aggressive rate cuts in time that has simply put a “brake” on their rise. What they cannot …
Light Painkiller the interest rate cut, loop the over-indebtedness
While the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank’s message on rate cuts appears clear as they reiterate their commitment to reducing inflation, the market expects between five and six rate cuts, between 125 and 150 basis points , the next twelve months. This shows us the tendency of investors to overlook bubbles. We live in …