A new surge in eurozone inflation has reignited fears of a prolonged wave of deflation and left the European Central Bank facing tough decisions. The surge in energy prices due to the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East and the war in Iran is defying expectations of price stabilization. Eurostat data showed that inflation in …
Tag: interest rates
Issuance of Eurobonds worth 4,5 trillion euros is required for Europe’s strategic autonomy
The only obstacle and most important to the issuance of Eurobonds that will finance the EU’s strategic autonomy is Germany. The only major country in the Eurozone with an “excellent” credit rating (AAA) refuses to accept joint borrowing and the issuance of the Eurobond. To achieve the strategic autonomy of the Old Continent requires three …
Inflationary shock and Interest rates are crashing Debt markets
Government bond prices collapsed globally as investors rushed to bet on higher interest rates after major central banks showed renewed concern that rising oil prices would trigger an inflationary shock. Three weeks after the start of the Iran war, the fallout has put upward pressure on short-term bond yields, defying until recently widespread expectations that …
If China and Japan sell off U.S. bonds, they will lead the U.S. into an economic death spiral
As Donald Trump’s White House ramps up debt issuance to cover its ballooning budget deficit, it will inevitably turn to Asia—the region is home to some of the largest holders of U.S. Treasury bonds. The $9 trillion wall by 2026 Meanwhile, there’s a chart that should scare every investor, policymaker, and citizen in the world. …
USA: American citizens’ debts at historic highs – Countdown to the domino of bankruptcies
Americans are entering the new year with their debt at record highs. It’s no coincidence that the Federal Reserve signaled tighter conditions for interest rate cuts in 2026 at its December meeting, potentially denying much-needed relief to millions of Americans who rely on loans. Household debt soared to a record $18.6 trillion in the third …
FED: New interest rate cut to 3.75% to 4% range, end to quantitative tightening
The US central bank, with its recent decision, is attempting to avoid a liquidity shortage that could be caused by excessive withdrawal of reserves from the banking system. The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the second consecutive meeting, bringing policy rates to their lowest range since 2022, between 3.75% …
European banks’ return on equity hits 300% in 5 years
Despite their explosive rise (40% gains for 2025), European bank stocks are facing a tough time as sentiment has already been affected by the new uncertainty in France. Still, investors may find it hard to ignore the momentum of Europe’s best-performing sector so far this year. An investor who bought European bank stocks five years …
The appreciating yen and the depreciation of the dollar became a nightmare for Japan
As Donald Trump tries to weaken the dollar to boost the US economy and manufacturing, the Japanese yen is developing safe-haven behavior faster than Tokyo policymakers would like – causing monetary policy turmoil in Asia’s second-largest economy. The extent to which the US president’s trade war is hurting confidence in dollar-denominated assets can be seen …
How will the “punishers” of the bond market be eliminated in 3 moves? The battle for the 10-year
Donald Trump’s retreat, as many mainstream media outlets have pointed out, was not so much driven by the bloodshed on Wall Street as by the reaction of the so-called “punishers” of the bond market (please read also the analysis titled “Tariffs and the $3 trillion held by Asian central banks that make them punishers in …
FED ignores Trump: Interest rates unchanged at 4.25% to 4.50%
The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept its policy interest rates unchanged in the range of 4.25% to 4.50%, ignoring calls from US President Donald Trump for monetary policy easing. Notably, the majority of FED officials (9 officials) participating in the FOMC committee predict that the average of the base rate range will be 3.875 at the …