The French government plans to borrow a record 310 billion euros from the markets in 2026 – despite starting the year without a fully voted state budget but with emergency fiscal arrangements. The move underscores how unprecedented debt and persistent deficits are setting the stage for a full-blown crisis, combined with a fractured parliament and …
Tag: economy
The Dangers of the Huge Stimulus Packages Coming to the US and Eurozone
Both the US and European economies are preparing to receive strong fiscal and monetary stimulus packages, without even being in recession, as is traditionally the case when such stimulus packages are implemented in the economy. Trust Economics specifically refers to the following stimulus packages: Markets are already reacting… In the past two weeks, markets have …
Why is the calculation of “real GDP”, which subtracts inflation, even more misleading?
In today’s climate of increasing economic stagnation, politicians and central bankers continue to talk obsessively about “growth.” This narrative, as Trust Economics points out, is not based on real economic data but on a profound misunderstanding of what GDP measures. In fact, the concept of economic growth, as it is currently presented, is a statistical …
Inflationary money from central banks will cause global shock and poverty
The Federal Reserve – and all central banks – is blamed as the main cause of inflation through its policy of “currency devaluation,” which systematically destroys the value of Americans’ savings, assets, and wages. A “political-inflationary vicious cycle” is documented, where the government prints money to finance spending, causing prices to rise, which then leads …
Will Japan become the next center of a global debt crisis?
The sell-off in Japanese bonds is a warning to global economies. As yields – particularly at longer maturities – soar and demand collapses, Japan is becoming a case study in what happens when investors lose patience with huge deficits and debt. Japan’s government bond market is currently facing an existential crisis, marked by a sharp …
For the Russian economy, the cost of war is becoming increasingly unbearable
The new advance of Russian forces towards the strategically important Pokrovsk, in eastern Ukraine, continues and its possible capture would mark the first major victory for the Russian side since the fall of Bakhmut in 2023. It will not only provide Moscow with a strategic advantage in its goal of fully capturing the energy-rich Donbas. …
US and China lead markets to hell in 2026
China’s economic slowdown is drawing a lot of attention in Manhattan boardrooms. While Asia’s largest economy is not faltering, its 4.8% growth rate in the third quarter—the slowest this year—is sending up warning signs everywhere. Even the positives come with (serious) asterisks. For now, external demand is keeping China on track for this year’s 5% …
Inflation is slowly and painfully killing the middle-income class
In a speech in July, Harvard University professor Gregory Mankiw laid out with brutal honesty what needs to happen to end the unsustainable accumulation of debt in the United States. The options are five: Logic dictates that some combination of these will be inevitable. These potential solutions are common throughout the developed world. Through a …
The subprime monster returns: The American economy is cracking, a new bomb explodes
In a stark warning to markets, Trust Economics warns that a subprime crisis — especially among the lower-income classes in the US — is brewing beneath the surface of a seemingly stable economy and market euphoria. Trust Economics Chief Economist Thanos Chonthrogiannis points out that these cracks in the credit system are significant, but not …
The “drama” of the Greek Economy
The economic policy of the Mitsotakis government is limited to ensuring fiscal surpluses and there is no concern for the development of the private sector of the economy. The combination of a policy of containing fiscal spending and increasing tax revenues with a non-existent private sector undermines the growth rate, deprives incomes and jobs, causes …