China’s decision to dump US bonds and at the same time engage in massive gold purchases to bolster its foreign exchange reserves amid a trade war is heralding a monetary earthquake. This move did not come as a bolt from the blue as Beijing’s gradual withdrawal from US debt began during the period of sanctions …
Tag: bonds
The Fed is secretly buying billions of dollars worth of US bonds – What does this mean?
The US Federal Reserve has quietly made a major move — in four days last week, without any publicity, the Fed has withdrawn $43.6 billion in US Treasury bonds. That’s $8.8 billion in long-term 30-year bonds on May 8 alone, plus another $34.8 billion earlier in the week. Not exactly small change. Quietly returning monetary …
How will the “punishers” of the bond market be eliminated in 3 moves? The battle for the 10-year
Donald Trump’s retreat, as many mainstream media outlets have pointed out, was not so much driven by the bloodshed on Wall Street as by the reaction of the so-called “punishers” of the bond market (please read also the analysis titled “Tariffs and the $3 trillion held by Asian central banks that make them punishers in …
Great Britain faces a serious debt crisis due to tariffs and deficits
Donald Trump’s trade war and the country’s dire fiscal position risk plunging Britain into a Greek-style debt crisis, investors have warned. Weaker economic output combined with the Treasury’s negative fiscal data are exposing Britain to a “negative growth spiral”. Britain’s £2.7 trillion debt, which exceeds the size of the economy, leaves it vulnerable to the …
The Japanese sold off 41 billion of Eurozone debt in 6 months, leading to a generalized sell-off in bonds
Japanese investors have sold off eurozone government debt at the fastest pace in a decade, suggesting that the move by one of the major holders of European debt could lead to a sharp sell-off in the market. Gross online sales by Japanese buyers rose to 41 billion euros in the six months to November, the …
The specter of the IMF hangs over Britain and the new debt crisis
The latest turmoil in UK bonds has drawn comparisons to the collapse of Liz Truss’s 2022 mini-budget, but a parallel with the debt crisis of the 1970s may be more apt. About ten days ago the British pound came under sustained downward pressure amid a fall in the value of UK government bonds, which arose …
2025 will be a year of shock and awe because of Ukraine – Stocks, bonds and real estate
The geopolitical situation is more precarious than ever in world history due to the crises in Ukraine and the Middle East. The “deep state” in the US, the neocons led by Biden, are doing everything they can to provoke World War III, provoking Russia with missiles from the US and the UK launched deep into …
What will investors punish after the failure of the FED?
A paradoxical phenomenon occurred in the course of US interest rate cuts: Instead of falling, they moved higher in the medium term. The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by half a percentage point in September, raising expectations that other interest rates will soon begin to cut as well. By contrast, two-year and 10-year …
The REPO Act poses a problem to US Geopolitical Hegemony
In the wake of Russia’s military operation in Ukraine in 2022, the US government launched its most aggressive sanctions campaign ever. The US government and its allies have frozen about $300 billion of the Russian central bank’s accumulated foreign reserves. It was a stunning display of the political risk associated with the dollar and US …
De-dollarization is constantly being strengthened
The dollar is still a primary currency for spending, liquidity and foreign exchange. But it’s no longer the top savings asset. Gold (now a Tier-1 asset…) will continue to be a high-value reserve (ie, it holds its wealth) better than any amount of money. In any case, the dollar and US Treasuries are now quantitatively …