Increased positions in stocks, maintaining cash at historically low levels, optimism about global growth and corporate profits, but also fears about geopolitical conflicts and valuations of AI technology giants are what Trust Economics sees for 2026. More specifically: Trust Economics’ expectations for global growth are at their highest level since July 2021, while cash levels …
Tag: bonds
EU Dilemma: Use the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI) or Liquidate $8 Trillion in US Bonds and Stocks
The impact on the euro from US President Donald Trump’s new trade threats to European governments over Greenland may be limited, as the United States is heavily dependent on Europe for its financing, according to Trust Economics, a consulting and economic research firm. According to Trust Economics, Europe is the largest creditor of the US …
If China and Japan sell off U.S. bonds, they will lead the U.S. into an economic death spiral
As Donald Trump’s White House ramps up debt issuance to cover its ballooning budget deficit, it will inevitably turn to Asia—the region is home to some of the largest holders of U.S. Treasury bonds. The $9 trillion wall by 2026 Meanwhile, there’s a chart that should scare every investor, policymaker, and citizen in the world. …
France: Borrowing – mammoth 310 billion euros in 2026 with emergency measures to avoid bankruptcy
The French government plans to borrow a record 310 billion euros from the markets in 2026 – despite starting the year without a fully voted state budget but with emergency fiscal arrangements. The move underscores how unprecedented debt and persistent deficits are setting the stage for a full-blown crisis, combined with a fractured parliament and …
Will Japan become the next center of a global debt crisis?
The sell-off in Japanese bonds is a warning to global economies. As yields – particularly at longer maturities – soar and demand collapses, Japan is becoming a case study in what happens when investors lose patience with huge deficits and debt. Japan’s government bond market is currently facing an existential crisis, marked by a sharp …
The ECB is secretly rescuing France, while in 2010 it threw Greece into the jaws of the markets
The European Central Bank (ECB), especially after the Greek adventure, has a long history of intervening in government bond markets in order to contain yields during periods of turmoil in the debt market. However, this is not an exercise of monetary policy but an intervention by the Brussels deep state. The most characteristic — and …
Why are US stocks living in an alternate reality?
Stocks seem to be moving in an alternate reality: while indices are hitting historic highs and the market is in a bullish recovery, the underlying economic fundamentals and the real economy don’t seem to fully support this. So what are the forces and factors that explain this “unexplained” rise? From monetary policy easing to investor …
Bretton Woods III from Russia, China and India with a Chinese wall of gold, energy and commodities
Beyond the fading glory of the G7 and G20 — groups of states formed in the aftermath of World War II and now mired in stagnation and demographic decline — a new alliance has emerged on the geoeconomic map: the BRICS+ group. This coalition — Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa — represents a …
Hybrid economic warfare: Scenarios for a massive sell-off in American assets and the “nuclear solution”
US bond yields are rising amid concerns about inflation and monetary policy, putting significant pressure on the US’s already tight fiscal position. If President Donald Trump fails to secure sufficient revenue from retaliatory tariffs and a surge in inflationary pressures is not averted, the world’s largest economy risks a sudden death. On Tuesday (22/7), US …
Bond Markets: Reduce Debt and Deficits – deficits will not be financed by the markets
The Land of the Rising Sun is not generally of much interest to global investors — until something goes really wrong, when it does. Japan’s $7.8 trillion government bond market is suddenly causing major financial shocks around the world. A few days ago, Japanese government bonds (JGBs) were the usual haven of calm with ultra-low …