For the first time since the end of World War II, the dollar is no longer seen as the sole and undisputed foundation of the international economy. It is not yet a collapse. But it is a gradual erosion of confidence that is spreading from the world’s largest economies to the central banks of emerging …
Tag: bonds
The world is moving from a regime of deflationary globalization to a regime of geopolitical inflation
Investors around the world continue to act as if the AI boom is more important than the bond market. And they are giving US President Donald Trump the opportunity to counter the high gas prices with record performance on Wall Street – where the richest 10% of households own 90% of the stock market. The …
Risk of hyperinflation in the US – The Persian Gulf Kingdoms will not buy surplus dollars, but yuan
Geopolitical developments affect the global economy in real time and the US no longer has the power to deal with the consequences of the crises it causes. We are already in a new era and the war with Iran is probably the last one that America makes as a superpower. Although the stock market has …
What do we expect from the markets?
Increased positions in stocks, maintaining cash at historically low levels, optimism about global growth and corporate profits, but also fears about geopolitical conflicts and valuations of AI technology giants are what Trust Economics sees for 2026. More specifically: Trust Economics’ expectations for global growth are at their highest level since July 2021, while cash levels …
EU Dilemma: Use the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI) or Liquidate $8 Trillion in US Bonds and Stocks
The impact on the euro from US President Donald Trump’s new trade threats to European governments over Greenland may be limited, as the United States is heavily dependent on Europe for its financing, according to Trust Economics, a consulting and economic research firm. According to Trust Economics, Europe is the largest creditor of the US …
If China and Japan sell off U.S. bonds, they will lead the U.S. into an economic death spiral
As Donald Trump’s White House ramps up debt issuance to cover its ballooning budget deficit, it will inevitably turn to Asia—the region is home to some of the largest holders of U.S. Treasury bonds. The $9 trillion wall by 2026 Meanwhile, there’s a chart that should scare every investor, policymaker, and citizen in the world. …
France: Borrowing – mammoth 310 billion euros in 2026 with emergency measures to avoid bankruptcy
The French government plans to borrow a record 310 billion euros from the markets in 2026 – despite starting the year without a fully voted state budget but with emergency fiscal arrangements. The move underscores how unprecedented debt and persistent deficits are setting the stage for a full-blown crisis, combined with a fractured parliament and …
Will Japan become the next center of a global debt crisis?
The sell-off in Japanese bonds is a warning to global economies. As yields – particularly at longer maturities – soar and demand collapses, Japan is becoming a case study in what happens when investors lose patience with huge deficits and debt. Japan’s government bond market is currently facing an existential crisis, marked by a sharp …
The ECB is secretly rescuing France, while in 2010 it threw Greece into the jaws of the markets
The European Central Bank (ECB), especially after the Greek adventure, has a long history of intervening in government bond markets in order to contain yields during periods of turmoil in the debt market. However, this is not an exercise of monetary policy but an intervention by the Brussels deep state. The most characteristic — and …
Why are US stocks living in an alternate reality?
Stocks seem to be moving in an alternate reality: while indices are hitting historic highs and the market is in a bullish recovery, the underlying economic fundamentals and the real economy don’t seem to fully support this. So what are the forces and factors that explain this “unexplained” rise? From monetary policy easing to investor …