How and why are bubbles created in the financial system? Is it a random error in the path or a structural element of the circumvention of the rules of the functioning of the market? The capitalist economic system has an inherent tendency to develop instability that results in a severe economic crisis. The main mechanism …
Category: Proposed Fiscal Policies
fiscal analysis
The FED serves Wall Street (and capital gains taxes), not the Real Economy
Nobody likes tough macro events, especially during the holiday season, but some things need to be said, according to Trust Economics. As you know, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has promised that 2024 will be the year of interest rate cuts. In this regard, it should be pointed out that Powell is neither a …
Good Luck Argentina: A Promising Liberal Experiment Begins
Argentina is perhaps the only example of a country that, while it was among the 10 richest at the beginning of the 20th century, was driven into poverty by the populist state diet economic model of the Peronists. A country rich in natural resources followed a failed development model based on industrialization behind a wall …
The FED Won’t Help ‘Bidenomics’ – Interest Rates and the 2024 Elections
In recent years, Jerome Powell stood firm on the monetary principles he espoused: The Fed was prepared to do whatever it took until inflation returned to its 2% target. On Tuesday, December 12, 2023, Powell showed signs of a change in attitude. The reasons are obvious and it is certainly beyond any economic logic. At …
USA: Black hole in the US economy – Impossible to finance Ukraine
The “black hole” in the American defense economy risks swallowing the economy of the superpower, and the role of the “global policeman” is called into question… So far, the White House has justified its unwavering support for Ukraine by citing principles such as defending democracy and freedom — both in Ukraine and in the West. …
Pressure on Emerging Economies from the Overvalued Dollar
The rise of the US currency depletes their limited foreign exchange reserves and stunts growth by making their exports more expensive. The strengthening of the dollar over the past year due to continued interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve has put severe pressure on many emerging economies, which have seen their national currencies …
Debt and Stagnation threaten Developing Economies
The news brought by the World Bank’s Global Economic Prospects report was not good. First we have the forecast for global growth (https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects). This is now down to 1.7%, well below the 3% previously forecast in June. For developed economies, the forecast is for growth of just 0.5% in 2023, just above the typical recession …
The ECB’s aggressive interest rate hike is causing problems for the EU
The ECB’s aggressive interest rate hike is causing problems for everyone in Europe. To citizens who are asked to pay a higher installment on their mortgage or consumer loan, to businesses that are raising the cost of servicing their loans, to states that see their existing bonds collapse, and even to public debt that, instead …
Why the EU’s Proposal to Impose a Cap Only on Russian Natural Gas is Wrong?
In the past two weeks the structural pathologies responsible for the EU’s energy gridlock have combined with a series of extreme weather events – such as unprecedented drought – to record unimaginable energy prices. The day-ahead electricity prices in France, the EU’s traditional electricity exporting power, reached on September 2 even above 1,000€/MWh, while natural …
Big Problems for the European Economy
The development of the war in Ukraine leaves no room for optimism for the European economy. It is clear that the longer the war lasts, the greater its economic impact. At the moment we have the terrible accuracy that comes from inflation, which in turn is due in large part to the energy crisis intensifying …