With widening budget deficits, rising debt, and interest payments that can only be serviced by issuing a currency of decreasing value, the dollar can only be described as an elaborate Ponzi scheme at the nation-state level. Dollars are backed by debt, which requires infinite economic growth to service – it is a credit-based currency. Without …
Trump’s options to deflate Μarket Βubbles
As future Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. said, “a revolution is coming,” in reference to Trump’s election in the recent U.S. election. Depending on one’s political perspective, such a “revolution” is either music to the ears or “American-style fascism.” Nothing will change the polarized views of those who have already chosen …
Anger over high cost of living has brought down 70% of governments in developed countries
Donald Trump’s victory over Kamala Harris and the Democrats in the November 5 elections represents part of a broader phenomenon: Most governments in developed economies have been swept away by public anger over rising prices. And this despite the mainstream media and political elites saying that inflation has been… defeated and everything is returning to …
What will investors punish after the failure of the FED?
A paradoxical phenomenon occurred in the course of US interest rate cuts: Instead of falling, they moved higher in the medium term. The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by half a percentage point in September, raising expectations that other interest rates will soon begin to cut as well. By contrast, two-year and 10-year …
The impact of Trump’s duties will be limited – what will happen to the dollar?
Much is said and heard of the Trump economic policy and its impact on both the US and the rest of the world. The dominant media, as they propagated the defeat of the Democratic candidate, so they sow trampophobia – they forget, of course, to say that the economy worldwide was going on in Trump. …
The new era of tariffs and the return of economic nationalism
One of the most surprising developments in the recent American political debate has been the bipartisan consensus against free trade. Just a decade ago, Democrats and Republicans generally championed free trade as part of their support for the neoliberal order—unimpeded movement of goods and capital. But with the 2024 presidential election, both Republican Donald Trump …
All roads lead to inflation – USA & EU on Japan’s path
The recent 50 basis point rise in long-term bond yields began the day after the Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (base rate 4.75% to 5%). Some of the bond bears argue that the Fed will reignite inflation by cutting interest rates as the economy remains strong. Others fear that fiscal deficits are …
The Global Debt Crisis is just around the corner
The bond market and dollar index have begun to sensitize to the potential implications of another Trump victory. The ten-year yield has increased by 55 bp. after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in mid-September. Americans who have been waiting for rate cuts are once again battling with their mortgage rates starting with the digit …
Money is credit – Currency depreciation is inflation & inflation is silent bankruptcy
The increased prices constitute a “hidden” tax for citizens and a means of state control of economic activity.
Bets against the euro-dollar parity are increasing dangerously
Anticipation of the risk of the euro slipping against the dollar is rising in financial markets after last week’s rate cut and the scenario that a Donald Trump presidency could spark a global trade war. Days after Trump suggested that US tariffs could target Europe as well as China and other countries, European Central Bank …