One of the most significant long-term effects of this War in Ukraine, regardless of when a peaceful settlement is reached, will be on gold and the dollar. That is, in the realm of an ongoing currency war. When Russia launched its military operation in Ukraine, it overlooked the fact that its central bank had about …
Tag: USA
US debt is unsustainable – at 200% if tax cuts become permanent
The US debt is the enduring nightmare of Donald Trump’s economic policy… His presidency, after all, will be judged by whether he deals with it in a credible way. The independent Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated the impact of making the tax cuts permanent. It found that US government-issued debt could soar above 200% …
Why will the recession bomb explode in Trump’s hands?
The U.S. stock market’s downward trend appears to be continuing, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 down 4% and 6% respectively since the beginning of the year. And that’s just one of many signs that should prompt any sensible business leader, investor or policymaker to start preparing for an economic slowdown …
FED ignores Trump: Interest rates unchanged at 4.25% to 4.50%
The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept its policy interest rates unchanged in the range of 4.25% to 4.50%, ignoring calls from US President Donald Trump for monetary policy easing. Notably, the majority of FED officials (9 officials) participating in the FOMC committee predict that the average of the base rate range will be 3.875 at the …
The US is “controlling” debt with inflation
There is an old joke among investors that, in our time, is tragically accurate. Countries start by borrowing from each other. When that trust is gone, they borrow from the banks. And when that source is exhausted, they end up stealing from the people. This theft can appear in various forms: from taxes and special …
Trump rescues the Dollar with the help of… Putin
The three-year proxy war between NATO and Russia in Ukraine has contributed to the perception that the international community has been divided into two camps: the West and the Global Majority, with the outcome of this conflict determining which of the two sides will shape the global transition. This narrative has led many observers to …
First, America… will lose from the imposition of tariffs
What Trump voters who believe the President is putting “America First” on their behalf seem to fail to understand is that his policies will be so costly that they will create enormous problems for both their country’s economy and their own households. The imposition of tariffs on imported goods is theoretically intended to boost the …
Return to the gold standard when Western central bankers dislike gold?
Donald Trump and Elon Musk have been particularly vocal about what’s been going on at Fort Knox lately, the location where America keeps its official gold reserves. Both have said they will visit the place soon to check it out and make sure the gold is there. According to Trump and Musk, they want to …
Rescheduling the maturities of US debt securities and Linking the dollar to gold
After the geopolitical earthquakes caused by the US’s reorientation of its stance on Ukraine and its rapprochement with Russia, a new earthquake is being planned, this time in the economy. In a move that could reshape the global financial landscape with unpredictable consequences, President Donald Trump is reportedly planning a major restructuring of international debt …
Cryptocurrencies, the dollar, the tariff war and the huge US debt
The adoption of cryptos continues in the US, gradually changing the country’s monetary regime in a revolutionary way. A growing number of US states are planning to create strategic Bitcoin reserves or allow investments in crypto assets, causing a change in fiscal policy at the state level. Of the 50 US states, 16 are in …