“The 2024 deficit will represent 7% of US gross domestic product while the 2034 deficit will be 6.9% of GDP,” the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) wrote in its latest report. This makes it easy: 7% over a decade roughly doubles the US debt. The CBO now projects this year’s deficit at $2 trillion, a …
Tag: USA
Currency War – The Implicit Replacement of the Petro-Dollar
The dollar as the currency of valuation for oil silently died last week, ushering in a new era in the global monetary status quo. On June 9, the US agreement with Saudi Arabia expired – What will be the consequences. Although it did not grab the headlines of the economic press, for obvious reasons the …
De-dollarization is constantly being strengthened
The dollar is still a primary currency for spending, liquidity and foreign exchange. But it’s no longer the top savings asset. Gold (now a Tier-1 asset…) will continue to be a high-value reserve (ie, it holds its wealth) better than any amount of money. In any case, the dollar and US Treasuries are now quantitatively …
China: The Strategic Moves, Trade and Sanctions It Prepares for Currency War Against the Dollar
Financial security has become an integral part of China’s national security strategy since the Asian financial crisis of 1997 – when the so-called Asian Tigers collapsed. Rising geopolitical tensions with the US and the West in general since 2018 and Western economic sanctions against Russia have further prompted Chinese policymakers to strengthen the economy’s financial …
China cancels US tariffs by devaluing the yuan
China is actively promoting its plan for de-dollarization, promoting the yuan as the dominant currency in world trade, effectively challenging the long-standing dominance of the US dollar. China is trying to promote the yuan as a medium of international trade, implementing the basic principle of de-dollarization – reducing dependence on the dollar. China once relied …
Gold is the only lifeline from inflation – Inflation is implicit government bankruptcy
The money supply (the M2 index) in the US is rising again and persistent inflation is no longer a surprise. Price inflation occurs when the quantity of currency increases significantly above private sector demand. For investors, the worst decision in this currency disaster environment is to invest in government bonds and hold cash. The destruction …
How will the BRICS common currency affect the USD?
The BRICS alliance has aimed to dethrone the US dollar from the international market and make local currencies dominate. Developing countries are steadily and organizedly seeking to break ties with the US dollar and strengthen their domestic economies by putting their local currencies forward. In this light and from the US side, the change in …
Nvidia one step away from becoming the most valuable company in the world
Investors on Wall Street welcomed Nvidia with a “rally” of more than 9%, as a result of strong demand for the stock after the new, spectacular financial results. Currently, the market capitalization exceeds 2.5 trillion. dollars (passed the $1 trillion mark on 5/30/2023) and ranks Nvidia as the third largest company on Wall Street and …
Slowly and steadily cracks are appearing in the Financial System
The FED raised interest rates above 5%, yet the US economy is not broken. The bond yield curve has been inverted since 2022 and has remained inverted ever since. The lags looked short, with the US economy only briefly causing concern in 2023 when there was a consensus among market participants that a recession would …
How far or close are we from a painful crash?
The economic cycle we are experiencing is very different from most economic cycles we have experienced to date in our lifetimes. This means that we are in an income-led expansion, but also in an income-led consumption expansion, meaning that citizens in the US are enjoying wage growth of 6% per year, with personal consumption spending …