In an era characterized by global economic instability and high political uncertainty, the idea of a new world order in the financial sector is gaining more and more ground. Now, there are questions about how this new world order will take shape. The dollar has long held this position, but its reign is increasingly being …
Tag: USA
A move away from the dollar could hurt the Εconomies of Russia, China and India
Despite the ongoing movement, the dominance of the dollar is unlikely to disappear easily and quickly, given how pervasive the dollar is in financial markets. De-dollarization cannot happen at a rapid pace because the infrastructure required to make it happen is extremely daunting because all governments and countries will have to change the way they …
Why does the imposition of tariffs create few jobs in the countries that impose them?
The US presidential contenders seem to agree on one thing: Both Donald Trump and Joe Biden have imposed high tariffs on imported goods made in China and other countries. These kinds of protectionist policies are a departure from the policies of the previous half century that favored “free trade” (less or minimal government intervention in …
The REPO Act poses a problem to US Geopolitical Hegemony
In the wake of Russia’s military operation in Ukraine in 2022, the US government launched its most aggressive sanctions campaign ever. The US government and its allies have frozen about $300 billion of the Russian central bank’s accumulated foreign reserves. It was a stunning display of the political risk associated with the dollar and US …
ECB: Inverted Bond yield curve warns of coming pain and 2008-style recession
The possibility of a major financial crisis, similar to the one that occurred when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt in 2008, is increasing day by day. An important indicator in this regard is the inverted yield curve of US bonds, which is historically associated with recessions. As an example, it is worth noting that from the …
Trump Presidency 2.0: The Dollar will be sacrificed to deal with the huge Public Debt
The US must abandon its “mammoth deficits” if it is to keep US debt levels manageable for decades to come. The over-indebted US economy can no longer bear, in the context of geopolitical realignments, to support the “excessive monetary privilege” of the dollar, and in order for the new presidency of Donald Trump not to …
“Monetary policy” – the tool for elites to win by controlling the Economy
In the cases over the decades where Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has been applied, not a few have been spent reacting to the relevant policies of governments and central banks, focusing on the mix of options and the efficiency they will bring to the economy. There is also a minority, however, who have targeted monetary …
After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?
The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
We are nearing the End of the Debt Supercycle
“The 2024 deficit will represent 7% of US gross domestic product while the 2034 deficit will be 6.9% of GDP,” the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) wrote in its latest report. This makes it easy: 7% over a decade roughly doubles the US debt. The CBO now projects this year’s deficit at $2 trillion, a …
Currency War – The Implicit Replacement of the Petro-Dollar
The dollar as the currency of valuation for oil silently died last week, ushering in a new era in the global monetary status quo. On June 9, the US agreement with Saudi Arabia expired – What will be the consequences. Although it did not grab the headlines of the economic press, for obvious reasons the …