The successful Plaza Accord of the 1985s is now apparently serving as inspiration for the administration of US President Donald Trump, as it seeks ways to weaken the dollar with the ultimate goal of improving America’s trade balance. While at the same time not wanting to weaken the dollar’s power as a reserve currency. Donald …
Tag: public debt
US debt is unsustainable – at 200% if tax cuts become permanent
The US debt is the enduring nightmare of Donald Trump’s economic policy… His presidency, after all, will be judged by whether he deals with it in a credible way. The independent Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated the impact of making the tax cuts permanent. It found that US government-issued debt could soar above 200% …
The US is “controlling” debt with inflation
There is an old joke among investors that, in our time, is tragically accurate. Countries start by borrowing from each other. When that trust is gone, they borrow from the banks. And when that source is exhausted, they end up stealing from the people. This theft can appear in various forms: from taxes and special …
Trump administration cuts borrowing costs in two ways: Musk’s DOGE in spending and cheaper energy
By sidelining the Federal Reserve in order to lower borrowing costs for Americans, the Donald Trump administration says it will reduce government spending and increase energy supplies. The payoff will be twofold: it will ease inflationary pressures and strengthen the economy’s fiscal position. While President Trump continues to urge the Fed to lower short-term interest …
Banks’ exposure to government debt will bring economic collapse
Crises are never caused by excessive exposure of businesses and individuals to risky assets. Crises can only happen when investors, governments and households accumulate risk in assets where most people believe there is little to no risk – namely government bonds. The recent sell-off and the underlying trend What does the recent sell-off in US …
The huge Public debt and Budget deficit, the trade war and the… problem with the dollar
Investors around the world spent much of 2024 worrying about China’s problems with the housing market and deflation. In 2025, it’s the US’s turn to be the star of the negative scenarios. While Donald Trump’s trade war is making headlines, the rapid decoupling between US net foreign investment and the level of federal debt is …
The falsely called “primary surplus” of the Greek Government’s budget is a statistical trick
In the new budget submitted to Parliament, the deficit increases from 5.7 billion in 2024 to 5.9 billion in 2025. If all public bodies, legal entities, hospitals, social security funds (SSFs) and municipalities are included, some of which obviously have a surplus, then the deficit of the so-called General Government is limited to 1.4 billion …
The dollar is not money but credit – The Ponzi scheme and the road to collapse
With widening budget deficits, rising debt, and interest payments that can only be serviced by issuing a currency of decreasing value, the dollar can only be described as an elaborate Ponzi scheme at the nation-state level. Dollars are backed by debt, which requires infinite economic growth to service – it is a credit-based currency. Without …
The Global Debt Crisis is just around the corner
The bond market and dollar index have begun to sensitize to the potential implications of another Trump victory. The ten-year yield has increased by 55 bp. after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in mid-September. Americans who have been waiting for rate cuts are once again battling with their mortgage rates starting with the digit …
Money is credit – Currency depreciation is inflation & inflation is silent bankruptcy
The increased prices constitute a “hidden” tax for citizens and a means of state control of economic activity.