The monetary policy of the EU it seems at the moment to be on the one hand ineffective, on the other hand leading to a dead end causing negative effects on the economy, with no benefits for anyone except the banks who will see their profits increase from the increase in loan rates while they …
Tag: interest rates
What do the Spread Control Mechanism mean for the EU Economy?
The 50 basis point increase in the ECB’s deposit rate, double what the ECB had initially communicated and in line with the hawks’ wish, was combined with the announcement of a new spread control tool, the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI). The threat of recession is greater in Europe: the war in Ukraine and the energy …
Where are the Economies and Businesses going after the Pandemic and War crises?
The West is also involved in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, imposing successive sanctions on Russia, while Russia threatens to close the energy supply tap to Western countries. Transiently continuing volatility in the stock markets is normal and expected. After all, the big fluctuations also result in the big benefits-profits, for those, of course, …
The Big Dilemma: Interest Rates Increases or Price Controls
The main driving force of inflation in Europe is not excessive demand, but mainly energy market problems and secondarily shortages and consequent price increases in raw materials or intermediate and final goods, due to the war in Ukraine and the Covid pandemic in China. If nominal interest rates rise do you think the problems will …
7 of the Fed’s 8 Rising Rates Periods (1955-present) ended in Recession in the US
The US Federal Reserve has already raised its lending rate by 75 basis points over the past two months. Money markets anticipate further increases of at least 200 basis points by the end of 2022. The European Central Bank (ECB) has announced the end of its government bond-buying program in the third quarter of 2022 …
The Uncertainty of the Future produced by the Crisis
The effects of the current crisis are manifold, but there are two conditions that limit the problem: energy prices and inflation. The rise in energy prices was directly reflected in the rise in inflation, which in March reached 7.5% in the Eurozone and 8.5% in the United Kingdom and the United States respectively. These countries …
Hyperinflation, Dollarization and the Giant Growth of the Turkish Economy
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has fired three governors of the Turkish Central Bank since mid-2019 and is fighting high interest rates in every possible way, insisting on applying low interest rates to the Turkish economy to boost growth and investment. Its purpose is to avoid a giant tsunami of bankruptcies for both businesses and …
The Era of Expensive Money
Central banks around the world are beginning to gradually implement a tapering policy in which they reduce their purchases on bonds by effectively reducing the liquidity cannula in economies. This is due to the gradual improvement of economic indicators and the rapid rise in inflation. Τhe FED, the Bank of England, the Norges Bank and …
When Real Interest Rates Are Lower Than Growth Rates Help Reduce Public Debt
After the end of World War II, short-term interest rates in the US were less than 1%, while T-Bond bonds with 10-year maturity yielded about 2% (https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/ERP-2012/pdf/ERP-2012-table73.pdf) with the US Federal Reserve, the Fed directly purchases Federal Government bonds from the US Treasury Department. At that time (1946) the US national debt reached 119% of …
The Unchanged Interest Rates, The Dollar Price Slip and the Postponement of Tapering
The Fed, knowing the expectations of the markets, decided last Wednesday 28/7/2021 to maintain unchanged interest rates, while continuing at a steady pace its monetary policy through the purchase of government bonds and securitized mortgage bonds with the always existing monthly rate. The head of the Fed, Jerome Powell, accepted the fact that the American …