The “Talented” Persistent Inflation that won’t go away

Inflation in the US fell to 2.4% against forecasts for a slowdown to 2.3%. On the other hand, “core” inflation recovered to 3.3%, against forecasts that it would remain unchanged. At the core, services inflation rebounded from 4.3% to 4.4% and accelerated strongly from 0.1% to 0.6% month-on-month (this is the part of the core …

The price of Gold outperformed stocks in annual return (+27.1%)

Spot gold prices closed Friday 9/20 at a new record high of $2,622 an ounce in New York, extending annual gains for the precious metal to 27.1%. It beat the weak performance of the US S&P 500 index, including dividend reinvestment. Gold is on track for its best performance since 2010, even outpacing 2020’s 25.1% …

Should Trump restore the Gold standard, and if so, how will he go about it?

During his presidential campaign, former President Donald Trump referred extensively to the issue of the inflationary vortex in which the US economy has been involved. In addition, he highlighted the importance of maintaining the dollar as the world’s main reserve currency by pointing to the possibility of the US imposing countermeasures on countries that abandon …

Kamala Harris’ $2.25 tril. “Money Tree”, and Economic Populism

The socialist recipe for economic failure: Price controls, higher taxes, government intervention and subsidies paid for by printing an ever-depreciating currency. These are the main pillars of “21st century socialism” and the radical leftist Peronism that destroyed Argentina. These are also the key elements of the economic plan presented by Kamala Harris and the Democratic …

Rising MFO Lending Creates Bubble in Russian Economy

On the face of it, for Russia its “war economy” has ostentatiously turned its “back” on Western sanctions, while the war in Ukraine is in its third year, with no end in sight. Its GDP grew by 3.6% in 2023, having been consistently positive for the past five quarters. Thanks to Russia’s broken alliance with …

After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?

The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …

The Big Mistake of Markets for Central Banks

Six months ago, the world’s major central banks were preparing for a move that would reward anyone with a credit card or hoping to buy a home or run a business: A global shift to lower interest rates that would make borrowing cheaper and loans more available. Interest rate cuts are “a topic of discussion …

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