The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%, despite inflation still above its 2% target, apparently politically targeted, has disturbing similarities to the monetary policy mistakes of the late 1970s. Then, under pressure to stimulate economic activity, the Fed eased monetary …
Tag: economy
The fake Digital Currency Bubble and the Market Economy
Why according to some “experts”, is there an urgent need to eliminate cash from the economy? The emergence of money and its transformation into a commodity Money appeared because exchanges of goods (countertrade) could not support the market economy. A butcher who wanted to trade his meat for fruit might not be able to find …
Neoliberalism is curtailing – Wars for raw materials and geopolitical power will change the planet
Future developments boil down to this: As long as it is possible to avoid direct hot wars between major powers that have emerged in the emerging geopolitical landscape, the main battlegrounds for geopolitical competition will be economics and technology. Today, all major world powers have started using protectionist measures that were rare during the era …
Rising MFO Lending Creates Bubble in Russian Economy
On the face of it, for Russia its “war economy” has ostentatiously turned its “back” on Western sanctions, while the war in Ukraine is in its third year, with no end in sight. Its GDP grew by 3.6% in 2023, having been consistently positive for the past five quarters. Thanks to Russia’s broken alliance with …
Barter Economy between Russia-China to Defeat Western Sanctions
The war in Ukraine after the Russian invasion has been going on for more than 900 days, and since then, China and Russia have strengthened their economic and defense ties. Under the radar of the West, however, economic relations could expand even further in the future – with the help of an old (as old …
The problem of shadow lenders is getting bigger, possibly leading to a new financial crisis
The occasion for this specific analysis is the recent statement about the main areas of concern of the Financial Stability Board (FSB) that was issued by the head of the global supervisor Klaas Knot. In particular, this statement focused on vulnerabilities in non-banking financial intermediation (NBFI), the so-called “shadow lenders”. More specifically, “Vulnerabilities in non-banking …
China is already 33% larger than the US in terms of GDP (including shadow economy), while India is also threatening
China’s GDP is already significantly larger than the US economy, contrary to official figures given by governments or organizations such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which do not include important parameters such as the “black economy” or the measurement of GDP in purchasing power parity terms. Translating the following into …
“Monetary policy” – the tool for elites to win by controlling the Economy
In the cases over the decades where Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has been applied, not a few have been spent reacting to the relevant policies of governments and central banks, focusing on the mix of options and the efficiency they will bring to the economy. There is also a minority, however, who have targeted monetary …
After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?
The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
Why is the Russian Economy growing continuously during the War in Ukraine?
The Russian economy during the years of the war in Ukraine “runs like a bullet”, according to the findings of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development EBRD. The World Economic Outlook of the IMF points out that Russia is expected to grow in 2024 faster than all advanced economies, in particular the Russian economy …