The answer depends mostly on how close it is to expiration. Important factors are the rate of rise in interest rates, the margins on new loans and how much risk a borrower can bear. Since July, the ECB has raised interest rates by three percentage points, putting corresponding upward pressure on the benchmark floating rate, …
Tag: ECB
The ECB’s aggressive interest rate hike is causing problems for the EU
The ECB’s aggressive interest rate hike is causing problems for everyone in Europe. To citizens who are asked to pay a higher installment on their mortgage or consumer loan, to businesses that are raising the cost of servicing their loans, to states that see their existing bonds collapse, and even to public debt that, instead …
How the ECB Will Force Banks to Raise Deposit Rates
The monetary policy of the EU it seems at the moment to be on the one hand ineffective, on the other hand leading to a dead end causing negative effects on the economy, with no benefits for anyone except the banks who will see their profits increase from the increase in loan rates while they …
What do the Spread Control Mechanism mean for the EU Economy?
The 50 basis point increase in the ECB’s deposit rate, double what the ECB had initially communicated and in line with the hawks’ wish, was combined with the announcement of a new spread control tool, the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI). The threat of recession is greater in Europe: the war in Ukraine and the energy …
Euro-Dollar Parity 1:1- Europe takes Steps Backwards Compared to the US
Each currency reflects the reality in the economy and is a tool of a specific economic policy. Reflecting at the same time, the general situation of the period, it is a matter of time, as everything shows, for the parity of the euro against the dollar to reach the absolute one-to-one and to fall below …
Emerging Stagnant-inflation in the Eurozone/EU & USA
Inflation begins to make a threatening appearance in the EU and US since last summer due to a combination of dynamic economic recovery in COVID-19 conditions, serious problems in international trade and supply chains and upward trend in international oil and mainly gas prices. Inflation had reached high levels before the Russian invasion of Ukraine. …
Where are the Economies and Businesses going after the Pandemic and War crises?
The West is also involved in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, imposing successive sanctions on Russia, while Russia threatens to close the energy supply tap to Western countries. Transiently continuing volatility in the stock markets is normal and expected. After all, the big fluctuations also result in the big benefits-profits, for those, of course, …
The Big Dilemma: Interest Rates Increases or Price Controls
The main driving force of inflation in Europe is not excessive demand, but mainly energy market problems and secondarily shortages and consequent price increases in raw materials or intermediate and final goods, due to the war in Ukraine and the Covid pandemic in China. If nominal interest rates rise do you think the problems will …
7 of the Fed’s 8 Rising Rates Periods (1955-present) ended in Recession in the US
The US Federal Reserve has already raised its lending rate by 75 basis points over the past two months. Money markets anticipate further increases of at least 200 basis points by the end of 2022. The European Central Bank (ECB) has announced the end of its government bond-buying program in the third quarter of 2022 …
Inflation is Dynamically Back
Households and businesses in both the EU as well as in the US are now under strong inflationary pressures. The increase in inflationary pressures is directly related to the course of the pandemic. During 2020 because of the restrictive measures to tackle the pandemic Covid- 19 inflation fell. In the context of the international economic recovery, prices are rising …