The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
Tag: ECB
Target 2 is a nightmare for France and other EU member countries
In France, President Emmanuel Macron accuses Lepen and the right or other far-right that if he comes to power – which is a given, based on the opinion polls so far it reaches 35% – that chaos will be caused in the French debt. They said the same about Italy but they say nothing about …
The Big Mistake of Markets for Central Banks
Six months ago, the world’s major central banks were preparing for a move that would reward anyone with a credit card or hoping to buy a home or run a business: A global shift to lower interest rates that would make borrowing cheaper and loans more available. Interest rate cuts are “a topic of discussion …
The nightmare of ECB policy and the mistake of cutting interest rates
The ECB decided to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on the same day it raised its own inflation estimates for 2024 and 2025. If anyone wants irrefutable proof of the lack of independence of central banks, this is it. The ECB has only one mandate, price stability, and it has violated it for …
The vicious economic cycle continues
The fact that the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, in the range of 5.25% – 5.5%, was of no concern to US stocks. On the other hand, he continues, the promise not to reduce them and to continue monetary tightening exerted downward pressure on bond yields, with the yield of the 2nd falling by …
Hard austerity is coming with over-indebtedness and high inflation
The era of low interest rates and “easy money” is over, despite the dominant narrative in the international financial press of a new round of monetary policy easing that will return economies to pre-pandemic health crisis status and the prophecies of monetary policy makers policy that set the benchmark for monetary policy easing next June …
How do central banks embellish the image of the economy for the benefit of politicians?
Reports on both sides of the Atlantic of ending the current cycle of monetary easing as a central policy option were probably a smoke screen to cover up the poor state of the financial system. The analyzes that are circulating refer to the prospect that the Fed and the ECB return from the spring of …
The ECB’s high interest rates will “test” the Economies of the Southern Eurozone member countries
Although interest rate hikes appear to be peaking in the EU, the southern member states of the Eurozone should expect a lot of pain in the coming years. More specifically, last year’s ECB interest rate hikes are expected to have a greater impact on southern than northern eurozone countries in 2024. And given that asset …
The battle with inflation and recession is becoming increasingly difficult
The entire financial press’ narrative of a “soft landing” of the economy – US and global – and avoidance of recession is fostered through the “uses” of the FED and ECB, with the former fueling investor expectations for aggressive rate cuts in time that has simply put a “brake” on their rise. What they cannot …
Recession will solve the problem because anti-inflationary policies have reached their limits
Central banks insist they are not done raising interest rates yet, with inflation still well below the 2% target. The result is that the EKT is currently at the highest interest rates in its history and the FED is at the highest interest rates in 22 years. At the same time, various side effects of …