President Donald Trump’s trade war with retaliatory tariffs is accelerating Beijing’s trade and investment push toward developing countries, known as the Global South, according to Trust Economics, potentially creating a new trade order dominated by Chinese companies. China’s exports of goods have doubled over the past decade to countries mainly in Southeast Asia, Latin America …
Tag: China
Real estate crisis in the US and China creates panic in the global economy
The countdown to the global economy has begun, with the two largest real estate markets on the planet, China and the United States, cracking at the seams and bringing about a new 2008-style financial crisis. We are no longer talking about just a “bubble” that is ready to burst, but about a systemic disintegration. In …
The US-China currency war is putting the final nail in the coffin of the global economy
The U.S. economy has not faced such a tariff regime in nearly 80 years. It is in a situation without historical precedent and therefore without the possibility of “ready-made recipes.” Given the absence of recent historical precedent, the Federal Reserve is waiting for more evidence that consumer prices are not rising sharply due to tariffs …
Trump imposes capital controls on foreign investors
Donald Trump is making a dramatic move that could change the face of global capital flows – access to the world’s largest market will not be free. To participate in the US financial system, which is the deepest and most liquid in the world, comes at a significant cost. Following the swift passage of the …
Bond Markets: Reduce Debt and Deficits – deficits will not be financed by the markets
The Land of the Rising Sun is not generally of much interest to global investors — until something goes really wrong, when it does. Japan’s $7.8 trillion government bond market is suddenly causing major financial shocks around the world. A few days ago, Japanese government bonds (JGBs) were the usual haven of calm with ultra-low …
A $35 billion bomb of loans from poor countries will explode in China’s hands in 2025
For the first time this century, China’s role has shifted from a major provider of capital, primarily to developing economies, to a lender that claims to service debt. This shift will have far-reaching implications for global credit conditions. It could fuel instability in many parts of the world and lead countries into strategic geopolitical realignments. …
Trust Economics: A new Global cycle of terror is underway
The world is on a grim and unpredictable path, with geopolitical upheaval, military conflicts, and economic derailments creating an explosive combination with unpredictable consequences. The Middle East looks like a powder keg ready to explode, as Israel and Iran are one step away from open conflict. Meanwhile, the United States is sinking deeper into a …
China abandons the Dollar and buys Gold – Liquidated $27.6 billion in US bonds
China’s decision to dump US bonds and at the same time engage in massive gold purchases to bolster its foreign exchange reserves amid a trade war is heralding a monetary earthquake. This move did not come as a bolt from the blue as Beijing’s gradual withdrawal from US debt began during the period of sanctions …
China: Asks the US for a “soft” dollar exchange rate in return
The real cause of the US-China trade war is the dollar. Namely, the dollar/renminbi exchange rate. This may seem paradoxical as tariffs have skyrocketed to levels unthinkable in the recent past and the free trade agreement on both sides of the US-China trade war. What needs to be considered is a high-stakes macroeconomic agreement between …
Tariffs and the $3 trillion held by Asian central banks that make them punishers in the US bond market
Great turmoil, great situation – to use a phrase from former Chinese President Mao Zedong to sum up the trade war declared by President Trump. The dollar extended its biggest plunge in three years on Friday, April 11, after China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 125% from 84%, a step up in tensions that …