Why did the decoupling of production from consumption through the operation of financial markets and the leverage of values become the greatest historical economic experiment? The financial “bubble” that began in the late 1980s is expected to burst with a wave sweeping away the forms of economies we know. “Bad currency” had long driven out …
Category: Financial Markets
Russia has abandoned the dollar and is increasing its foreign exchange reserves in yuan
In a state of war economy, Russia has survived and is victorious in a currency war that was declared against it by the West. Urals oil exports in local currencies, mainly with China and India, as well as the failure of sanctions on Russian energy goods boosted the country’s foreign exchange reserves and prevented the …
When are Real values produced vs the “Bubbles” of Casino Capitalism
In a complex juncture where few wise people “read” the real facts of economies, it is time to face structural questions: Many people believe – and on the surface they are not wrong – that a general increase in stock prices is an important factor in the strength of an economy. However, this is an …
FED: Vicious economic cycle with interest rate hikes leads to a crisis-crash like 1930s
The Fed’s “medicine” of lowering interest rates appears to be killing the sick American economy. The credit crunch due to unprecedented tight monetary policy has led to a surge in bankruptcy filings, portending a vicious recession and soaring unemployment. The flow of money supply (the dollars the Fed prints) fell again in October, remaining deep …
Why High Investment Grade Bonds remain the preferred choice?
Bonds and especially those characterized as high investment grade remain the preferred choice for Trust Economics. With yields trading at multi-year highs – a result of interest rate hikes by central banks – government bonds offer returns far better than any deposit account (even term deposits) while missing the risk of equity investments and commodities. …
Why is the only deposit banking product a deposit, while everything else is an investment?
Borrowing rates may be rising, but deposit rates remain at zero, frustrating depositors who see inflation erode the value of their money. The average interest rate on new loans in the Eurozone was 3.85%. In contrast, the average deposit rate was 1.15%. Any attempts by the Central Banks of the ECB in the member countries …
Pressure on Emerging Economies from the Overvalued Dollar
The rise of the US currency depletes their limited foreign exchange reserves and stunts growth by making their exports more expensive. The strengthening of the dollar over the past year due to continued interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve has put severe pressure on many emerging economies, which have seen their national currencies …
Loans: When is it beneficial to change the interest rate from floating to fixed?
The answer depends mostly on how close it is to expiration. Important factors are the rate of rise in interest rates, the margins on new loans and how much risk a borrower can bear. Since July, the ECB has raised interest rates by three percentage points, putting corresponding upward pressure on the benchmark floating rate, …
How the ECB Will Force Banks to Raise Deposit Rates
The monetary policy of the EU it seems at the moment to be on the one hand ineffective, on the other hand leading to a dead end causing negative effects on the economy, with no benefits for anyone except the banks who will see their profits increase from the increase in loan rates while they …
A Global Liquidity Crisis is beginning to appear on the Horizon
The dynamics of the global market vis-à-vis all those markets where a global liquidity that in 2019 reached 130 trillion dollars, well above the global GDP of 80 trillion dollars, is looking for a way out, tends to be the most decisive for the developments in the global economy. There are estimates that today this …