The announced interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will lead to lower yields on junk bonds. In other words, for a company with a very low credit rating, it will lead its debt to the category of “junk” bonds. The question is whether investors will be willing to take on the greater risk of …
Category: Financial Markets
The Digital nature of Cryptocurrencies, fundamentals and new money
Bitcoin’s true value is digital, it is a level of digital reality, and it is more valuable than what we might conventionally call its “current price.” Bitcoin is built like TCP/IP, the two protocols that underpin the operation of the internet. Without protocols, there would be no digital revolution and our entire lives would be …
Why will the amounts invested in infrastructure increase exponentially?
Over the past decade, assets under management in infrastructure funds have nearly quintupled to $1.3 trillion. Pension funds and sovereign wealth managers have been lured by the sector’s returns, which are handsome and relatively stable. Some of the biggest funds now invest directly in these boring assets. The infrastructure-investment sector The infrastructure-investment industry took shape …
FED reopens liquidity floodgates with new QE in April 2024 – creates problem for dollar
On December 13, the financial world was stunned when, just two weeks after Jerome Powell said it was “premature” to make assumptions about interest rate cuts, the Federal Reserve made a shocking U-turn, heralding the end of monetary tightening – even though inflation is at levels twice the 2% target. The Federal Reserve’s 180-degree U-turn …
The chances of the Global Financial System collapsing
“There is no way to avoid the collapse of a system that has expanded more than it was allowed to because of manorial credit expansion” Ludwig von Mises. History shows us that we have reached our limits. History never lies, but politicians do. In a system that has expanded more than it was allowed to …
Strategic move on the chessboard of Geopolitical competition, the purchases of gold by the Central Banks
Central banks around the world are hoarding gold at a record pace, signaling a transformation of historic proportions in the global financial system. This “gold rush” is not just about a defensive strategy to preserve the value of assets from the “storms” of the global economy – it is a strategic move on the grand …
Light Painkiller the interest rate cut, loop the over-indebtedness
While the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank’s message on rate cuts appears clear as they reiterate their commitment to reducing inflation, the market expects between five and six rate cuts, between 125 and 150 basis points , the next twelve months. This shows us the tendency of investors to overlook bubbles. We live in …
Where is the “smart money” looking for refuge while Wall Street is at historic highs?
Wall Street may be at all-time highs, but “behind the lines,” there’s a mass exodus from bonds, a frenzy for gold, and a dollar selloff. “Smart money” is looking for safe havens. And all this while the markets worldwide are experiencing, more or less, a santa rally, giving the message that everything is fine. But …
What do we expect about Stocks, Bonds and Gold for 2024?
Companies faced the spike in inflation to boost their profit margins – a phenomenon known as greed inflation. As a result, consumer prices have probably risen more than warranted, with cash hoards built up thanks to the expansionary fiscal policy of governments around the world during the pandemic making consumers less price-sensitive. Margins rise again …
How healthy is the Global Banking “system”?
Markets are still digesting the fallout from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, the second largest bank failure in US history and the biggest collapse since the 2008 financial crisis, which was quickly followed by the collapse of New York’s Signature Bank, when suddenly what seemed to be just a problem of mid-sized American banks …