The economy is the number one issue, by a wide margin for voters, in the all-important state of Pennsylvania (Rasmussen Reports “More Americans Optimistic About Economy“). Unfortunately for Democrats, most Americans are not happy with how the economy is performing, and it appears that conditions have taken a turn for the worse. The following are …
Category: Market Analyses
Analyses and articles for world financial markets
How is one global reserve currency replaced by another?
Over the past century, monetary systems have changed about every 30-40 years on average, according to the evidence of monetary history. Today, the existing monetary system is over 50 years old, so its transformation is long overdue. There are persistent attempts by different states to dethrone the US dollar as the world’s leading reserve currency …
Cutting Interest rates is a path full of Landmines
In a reduction in policy interest rates – for the first time in 4 years – by 50 bp. in the range of 4.75% to 5%, the Federal Reserve (Fed) advanced, in an attempt to stimulate the growth of the US economy, to satisfy investors and to raise the morale of the Democrats, especially the …
Why ‘easy money’ caused a bubble in tech companies?
From the beginning of 2022, it is known that the main trend in the technology industry was “artificial intelligence”. While the concept isn’t new — AI is the term many believe has been used to describe the way computers work since at least the 1980s — it has once again captured the imagination of the …
The fake Digital Currency Bubble and the Market Economy
Why according to some “experts”, is there an urgent need to eliminate cash from the economy? The emergence of money and its transformation into a commodity Money appeared because exchanges of goods (countertrade) could not support the market economy. A butcher who wanted to trade his meat for fruit might not be able to find …
The problem of shadow lenders is getting bigger, possibly leading to a new financial crisis
The occasion for this specific analysis is the recent statement about the main areas of concern of the Financial Stability Board (FSB) that was issued by the head of the global supervisor Klaas Knot. In particular, this statement focused on vulnerabilities in non-banking financial intermediation (NBFI), the so-called “shadow lenders”. More specifically, “Vulnerabilities in non-banking …
Global markets: After the plunge – The role of the carry trade, shorts and the hit to hedge funds
The numbers flashing on the stock screens on Monday were shocking. Whether Monday’s wild swings mark the final blowout of a global sell-off that began to develop last week or mark the beginning of a protracted downturn is impossible to know. Trust Economics is predicting a major crash next fall. The Nikkei on Monday posted …
The REPO Act poses a problem to US Geopolitical Hegemony
In the wake of Russia’s military operation in Ukraine in 2022, the US government launched its most aggressive sanctions campaign ever. The US government and its allies have frozen about $300 billion of the Russian central bank’s accumulated foreign reserves. It was a stunning display of the political risk associated with the dollar and US …
De-dollarization is constantly being strengthened
The dollar is still a primary currency for spending, liquidity and foreign exchange. But it’s no longer the top savings asset. Gold (now a Tier-1 asset…) will continue to be a high-value reserve (ie, it holds its wealth) better than any amount of money. In any case, the dollar and US Treasuries are now quantitatively …
At extreme levels of market valuations (bubbles), everything portends a crash
Lately there has been growing concern over the valuation of the US stock market, warning that it is currently overvalued. This analysis delves into the reasons behind this rating and explores the various factors that contribute to the perceived overvaluation. By trying to understand the basics of what “overvalued” means, we shed light on the …