The recent 50 basis point rise in long-term bond yields began the day after the Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (base rate 4.75% to 5%). Some of the bond bears argue that the Fed will reignite inflation by cutting interest rates as the economy remains strong. Others fear that fiscal deficits are …
Category: Economics
The Global Debt Crisis is just around the corner
The bond market and dollar index have begun to sensitize to the potential implications of another Trump victory. The ten-year yield has increased by 55 bp. after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in mid-September. Americans who have been waiting for rate cuts are once again battling with their mortgage rates starting with the digit …
Money is credit – Currency depreciation is inflation & inflation is silent bankruptcy
The increased prices constitute a “hidden” tax for citizens and a means of state control of economic activity.
The “Talented” Persistent Inflation that won’t go away
Inflation in the US fell to 2.4% against forecasts for a slowdown to 2.3%. On the other hand, “core” inflation recovered to 3.3%, against forecasts that it would remain unchanged. At the core, services inflation rebounded from 4.3% to 4.4% and accelerated strongly from 0.1% to 0.6% month-on-month (this is the part of the core …
Russia will spend $535.5 million to replenish its reserves of precious metals – dedollarization
The question is whether a central bank – systematically indulging in unprecedented purchases of gold – can have the same strategy in other precious metals. The Russian government is considering spending 51 billion rubles ($535.5 million) over the next three years to replenish its reserves of precious metals. The figures come from figures in the …
BRICS: US dollar reserves below 60% for first time in thirty years
This news, combined with the unreal US debt that exceeds 33 trillion, is the most important indicator for geopolitical events and their projection in the immediate future. Note that every day that passes the beast called “US debt” grows by 100 million dollars(!) and most American economists agree that it is now impossible to service. …
Global economic turmoil and geopolitical crisis since the Chinese recession
China is teetering on the brink of recession — excluding the Covid era, for the first time since 2008 — as new data showed industrial production shrank for a fourth straight month while new orders data was particularly weak. The above data are indications that China’s economic model, which was based on Simply put, weak …
Cutting interest rates early will cause hyperinflation
The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%, despite inflation still above its 2% target, apparently politically targeted, has disturbing similarities to the monetary policy mistakes of the late 1970s. Then, under pressure to stimulate economic activity, the Fed eased monetary …
Cutting Interest rates is a path full of Landmines
In a reduction in policy interest rates – for the first time in 4 years – by 50 bp. in the range of 4.75% to 5%, the Federal Reserve (Fed) advanced, in an attempt to stimulate the growth of the US economy, to satisfy investors and to raise the morale of the Democrats, especially the …
Currency War Intensifies – The Cheap Yuan and Why Secondary Sanctions Scared China
The battle that will not decide the outcome of the currency war – Why did China’s banks comply with the sanctions? With the threat of secondary sanctions keenly felt by Chinese banks, Washington appears to be temporarily winning a battle – but in an economic war it is decisively losing. The resilience of the Russian …