Liquidations, steepening and sell-off – The new phase of volatility in global bonds has begun. At a time when the positive side of the distribution curve in US stocks was starting to gain interest again (as we were approaching the point of exercise of options dealers’ “short” positions above 6,000 units of the S&P 500), …
China abandons the Dollar and buys Gold – Liquidated $27.6 billion in US bonds
China’s decision to dump US bonds and at the same time engage in massive gold purchases to bolster its foreign exchange reserves amid a trade war is heralding a monetary earthquake. This move did not come as a bolt from the blue as Beijing’s gradual withdrawal from US debt began during the period of sanctions …
The Fed is secretly buying billions of dollars worth of US bonds – What does this mean?
The US Federal Reserve has quietly made a major move — in four days last week, without any publicity, the Fed has withdrawn $43.6 billion in US Treasury bonds. That’s $8.8 billion in long-term 30-year bonds on May 8 alone, plus another $34.8 billion earlier in the week. Not exactly small change. Quietly returning monetary …
Volatility and MegaCaps drive Μarkets
With “significant progress” being made in US-China trade talks, including the announcement of a temporary 90-day “haircut” on tariffs, exceeding even the most optimistic expectations (with each country reducing its tariffs by 115%, i.e. the US reducing from 145% to 30% and China from 125% to 10%), US Treasury Secretary Bessent said that neither side …
Trump’s Political Victory with Trade Deals
Trump’s April 2 “Liberation Day” tariff announcement sparked sharp volatility in U.S. government debt and equity markets, with the S&P 500 index falling as much as 15% and borrowing costs rising. Markets have stabilized after Trump suspended most of the retaliatory tariffs, but concerns remain that the president’s policy changes could dampen foreign investor enthusiasm …
US Federal Government Debt: Bond Purchase by Stablecoin Issuers – End of Extortion
The difficult equation of how to keep the dollar as the global reserve currency and at the same time depreciate its value so that the US economy can regain competitiveness and reduce its trade deficits with the rest of the world is up to the Donald Trump administration – and all this against the backdrop …
Renewable Energy Sources Industry: A Critical Analysis of Grid Stability and Environmental Impacts
The rapid global transition to renewable energy sources, particularly wind and solar power, has been widely promoted as a sustainable solution to climate change. However, this transition introduces significant challenges to grid stability, while also entailing serious environmental impacts that are often ignored in policy discussions. This article presents a comprehensive analysis of the often …
Nine indicators that indicate a high probability of an economic crisis in the United States
The financialization of the economy in the last quarter of the 20th century created a global “bubble” that is now bursting, starting with the United States. The 2008/2009 financial crisis in the United States and then the debt crisis in the Eurozone, with Greece as the main protagonist, were apparently only the first episodes of …
The appreciating yen and the depreciation of the dollar became a nightmare for Japan
As Donald Trump tries to weaken the dollar to boost the US economy and manufacturing, the Japanese yen is developing safe-haven behavior faster than Tokyo policymakers would like – causing monetary policy turmoil in Asia’s second-largest economy. The extent to which the US president’s trade war is hurting confidence in dollar-denominated assets can be seen …
Central banks are geometrically increasing their purchases of gold and are abandoning the dollar
Record gold purchases by central banks signal a major shift in the monetary order – a shift in foreign exchange reserves and significant cracks in the dominance of the US dollar. Last week, the price of gold soared to another record high. While much of the buying has come from investors seeking safety in safe-haven …