Should we get used to the idea that financial markets are operating on the back of a weak dollar? This is the biggest reversal of conventional investment wisdom since the end of World War II. The dollar has weathered many crises, of course, but this time the stakes are high! What is particularly noteworthy – …
Tag: tariffs
China: Asks the US for a “soft” dollar exchange rate in return
The real cause of the US-China trade war is the dollar. Namely, the dollar/renminbi exchange rate. This may seem paradoxical as tariffs have skyrocketed to levels unthinkable in the recent past and the free trade agreement on both sides of the US-China trade war. What needs to be considered is a high-stakes macroeconomic agreement between …
Tariffs and the $3 trillion held by Asian central banks that make them punishers in the US bond market
Great turmoil, great situation – to use a phrase from former Chinese President Mao Zedong to sum up the trade war declared by President Trump. The dollar extended its biggest plunge in three years on Friday, April 11, after China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 125% from 84%, a step up in tensions that …
Trump’s Game Theory Sweeps the International Order
The United States has always been the leader of the free world. Certainly, after the extreme swings of recent weeks, it seems that the worst-case scenario regarding tariffs has been averted. However, we should not forget that tariff levels are still significantly higher than they were before Trump’s “Liberation Day,” even if they are not …
Tariffs were the Big detonator that burst the Capital markets bubble
Despite the shockwaves caused by Trump’s tariffs, the headlines – as usual – are wrong about the causes of the market volatility and the implications that lie ahead. Understanding how to navigate such market pressures, the historical reality of debt, the role of gold and – most crucially – the significance of a liquidity crisis …
Trump kills the “hard” dollar with tariffs & regains US economic dominance
The roots of the US economic hardship are found in the dollar, the head of the “wise men” of Donald Trump’s government, Stephen Miran, found in a study he wrote in November 2024 (“A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System“) and which is the guide to Trump’s economic policy regarding international trade/tariffs and …
Debt restructuring using tariffs is a risk for the dollar
The successful Plaza Accord of the 1985s is now apparently serving as inspiration for the administration of US President Donald Trump, as it seeks ways to weaken the dollar with the ultimate goal of improving America’s trade balance. While at the same time not wanting to weaken the dollar’s power as a reserve currency. Donald …
First, America… will lose from the imposition of tariffs
What Trump voters who believe the President is putting “America First” on their behalf seem to fail to understand is that his policies will be so costly that they will create enormous problems for both their country’s economy and their own households. The imposition of tariffs on imported goods is theoretically intended to boost the …
Rescheduling the maturities of US debt securities and Linking the dollar to gold
After the geopolitical earthquakes caused by the US’s reorientation of its stance on Ukraine and its rapprochement with Russia, a new earthquake is being planned, this time in the economy. In a move that could reshape the global financial landscape with unpredictable consequences, President Donald Trump is reportedly planning a major restructuring of international debt …
War Games with Currencies and Tariffs
We are already living in a new monetary order whose characteristics have yet to be clarified. Jim Rickards’s 2011 best-selling book, Currency Wars, was prescient in its conclusions. He painted a bleak picture of the modern monetary system and the enormous risks posed by the financialization of the economy, warning bluntly that “a new crisis …