Markets are facing an unprecedented storm as a series of interconnected risks threaten to trigger the biggest economic shock of modern times. The recent Annual Economic Report of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) shows that there was indeed resilience, but also luck, during the first half of 2026. Moreover, it shows that risks are …
Tag: stocks
The 12 US companies with a market capitalization of $30 trln, or equal to US GDP, are driving up stock market indices
The sheer size of the numbers is simply mind-boggling: 12 American companies have a market value of $30 trillion? Note that the U.S. GDP is about $30.8 trillion in nominal terms for 2025, according to IMF forecasts. There are only so many trillions of dollars that can disappear from investors’ portfolios before a recession is …
The world is moving from a regime of deflationary globalization to a regime of geopolitical inflation
Investors around the world continue to act as if the AI boom is more important than the bond market. And they are giving US President Donald Trump the opportunity to counter the high gas prices with record performance on Wall Street – where the richest 10% of households own 90% of the stock market. The …
What do we expect from the markets?
Increased positions in stocks, maintaining cash at historically low levels, optimism about global growth and corporate profits, but also fears about geopolitical conflicts and valuations of AI technology giants are what Trust Economics sees for 2026. More specifically: Trust Economics’ expectations for global growth are at their highest level since July 2021, while cash levels …
EU Dilemma: Use the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI) or Liquidate $8 Trillion in US Bonds and Stocks
The impact on the euro from US President Donald Trump’s new trade threats to European governments over Greenland may be limited, as the United States is heavily dependent on Europe for its financing, according to Trust Economics, a consulting and economic research firm. According to Trust Economics, Europe is the largest creditor of the US …
Mammoth debt,War, the AI bubble bursts
Artificial intelligence, which was presented as the “revolution that will save the world economy,” is now turning into a nightmare for investors and businesses. At the same time, geopolitical tensions are escalating… A view from the future In this context, Vladimir Putin has achieved significant successes in the war against Ukraine and has begun to …
Historical record in stock investments – Half of Americans’ savings, at $30 trillion, in the “bubble”
A huge disaster looms ahead as the Wall Street bubble is poised to burst: Americans now have more money invested in stocks than ever before, according to Federal Reserve data. At the same time, the consumption that drives the economy’s growth is being driven by the top 10% of households, who account for just under …
Why are US stocks living in an alternate reality?
Stocks seem to be moving in an alternate reality: while indices are hitting historic highs and the market is in a bullish recovery, the underlying economic fundamentals and the real economy don’t seem to fully support this. So what are the forces and factors that explain this “unexplained” rise? From monetary policy easing to investor …
Gold is one of the best investments ever
It’s time to talk about gold as an investment. The precious metal has been in the headlines recently as its price has skyrocketed from $2,300 per ounce to around $3,500 per ounce. The chart is quite impressive, as the price of gold has been rising almost every month for over a year. “So what?” …
Risks to Europe’s financial system from Gold Derivatives
Gold derivatives are now a risk to the global financial system, the European Central Bank said in a note written by its four economists. The note, titled “What does the record price of gold tell us about risk appetite in financial markets?”, comes nearly 25 years after a GATA delegation led by President Bill Murphy …