A major slowdown in global growth is expected to be caused by US President Trump’s impending “tariff wall”. The recession will start with a dollar liquidity crisis in China and end with a crash in the US, as funding pressures circulate through the global banking system. Because China runs a large trade surplus with the …
Tag: recession
Why will the recession bomb explode in Trump’s hands?
The U.S. stock market’s downward trend appears to be continuing, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 down 4% and 6% respectively since the beginning of the year. And that’s just one of many signs that should prompt any sensible business leader, investor or policymaker to start preparing for an economic slowdown …
EU will suffer a loss of 260 billion from Trump tariffs – Markets crash from -15% to -20%
If Donald Trump follows through on his promises and imposes tariffs on European goods imported into the US, then the continent will truly be plunged into a deep recession. Donald Trump’s victory could hurt Europe’s economy, as the proposed 10% US tariffs risk hitting European exports such as cars and chemicals, eroding Europe’s GDP by …
Global economic turmoil and geopolitical crisis since the Chinese recession
China is teetering on the brink of recession — excluding the Covid era, for the first time since 2008 — as new data showed industrial production shrank for a fourth straight month while new orders data was particularly weak. The above data are indications that China’s economic model, which was based on Simply put, weak …
Should Trump restore the Gold standard, and if so, how will he go about it?
During his presidential campaign, former President Donald Trump referred extensively to the issue of the inflationary vortex in which the US economy has been involved. In addition, he highlighted the importance of maintaining the dollar as the world’s main reserve currency by pointing to the possibility of the US imposing countermeasures on countries that abandon …
ECB: Inverted Bond yield curve warns of coming pain and 2008-style recession
The possibility of a major financial crisis, similar to the one that occurred when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt in 2008, is increasing day by day. An important indicator in this regard is the inverted yield curve of US bonds, which is historically associated with recessions. As an example, it is worth noting that from the …
After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?
The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
Inflation – Recession nightmare returns for stockholders
Journalists in the financial press often speak of a Goldilocks economy (“not too hot, not too cold”) in tribute to the Fed’s finesse in manipulating interest rates. They also use the term “soft landing” because the Fed is supposed to manage to tame inflation without causing a recession. However, these narratives, in fact, have no …
Risk for Lehman Brothers No. 2 and Recession like 2008
Opinions are being strengthened that maintained that the banking crisis in the US may not be over and that there is a risk of a new Lehman Brothers-style shock due to the purchase of commercial real estate. In this context, the share of the American bank New York Community Bancorp (NYCB), which is at its …
The battle with inflation and recession is becoming increasingly difficult
The entire financial press’ narrative of a “soft landing” of the economy – US and global – and avoidance of recession is fostered through the “uses” of the FED and ECB, with the former fueling investor expectations for aggressive rate cuts in time that has simply put a “brake” on their rise. What they cannot …