US restrictions imposed in June to undermine the Kremlin have put local banks in countries that trade with Russia at higher risk of so-called secondary sanctions, increasingly delaying or disrupting payments to and from places like China and Turkey. This makes it difficult, and sometimes impossible, to execute transactions, particularly with China, Russia’s most important …
Tag: interest rates
EU will suffer a loss of 260 billion from Trump tariffs – Markets crash from -15% to -20%
If Donald Trump follows through on his promises and imposes tariffs on European goods imported into the US, then the continent will truly be plunged into a deep recession. Donald Trump’s victory could hurt Europe’s economy, as the proposed 10% US tariffs risk hitting European exports such as cars and chemicals, eroding Europe’s GDP by …
Bets against the euro-dollar parity are increasing dangerously
Anticipation of the risk of the euro slipping against the dollar is rising in financial markets after last week’s rate cut and the scenario that a Donald Trump presidency could spark a global trade war. Days after Trump suggested that US tariffs could target Europe as well as China and other countries, European Central Bank …
Cutting interest rates early will cause hyperinflation
The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%, despite inflation still above its 2% target, apparently politically targeted, has disturbing similarities to the monetary policy mistakes of the late 1970s. Then, under pressure to stimulate economic activity, the Fed eased monetary …
Cutting Interest rates is a path full of Landmines
In a reduction in policy interest rates – for the first time in 4 years – by 50 bp. in the range of 4.75% to 5%, the Federal Reserve (Fed) advanced, in an attempt to stimulate the growth of the US economy, to satisfy investors and to raise the morale of the Democrats, especially the …
Bank of Canada: Third consecutive rate cut
The Bank of Canada proceeded with its third consecutive reduction in interest rates. Its prime lending rate fell to 4.25%. The 25 basis point rate cut was widely expected by the market, given the continued weakening of the economy and subdued inflation. In his written remarks, governor Tiff Macklem said the central bank’s decision reflected …
FED “Monetary Coup” by Manipulating Yield Curve To Elect Harris
Black Monday, August 5th was a powerful reminder to investors that the stock markets don’t just… go up, they sometimes go down. It wasn’t the end of the world. Wall Street’s 3.0% drop on a daily basis is a big deal, but it doesn’t compare to October 1929, when the stock market fell 21% in …
“Monetary policy” – the tool for elites to win by controlling the Economy
In the cases over the decades where Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has been applied, not a few have been spent reacting to the relevant policies of governments and central banks, focusing on the mix of options and the efficiency they will bring to the economy. There is also a minority, however, who have targeted monetary …
The Big Mistake of Markets for Central Banks
Six months ago, the world’s major central banks were preparing for a move that would reward anyone with a credit card or hoping to buy a home or run a business: A global shift to lower interest rates that would make borrowing cheaper and loans more available. Interest rate cuts are “a topic of discussion …
The nightmare of ECB policy and the mistake of cutting interest rates
The ECB decided to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on the same day it raised its own inflation estimates for 2024 and 2025. If anyone wants irrefutable proof of the lack of independence of central banks, this is it. The ECB has only one mandate, price stability, and it has violated it for …