The outlook for the global economy does not seem to be so favorable given the significant challenges it has to face. More specifically, the problem of inflation is major at the moment with most analysts believing that the phenomenon is temporary and once supply chain problems normalize, striking a balance between supply and demand, inflation …
Tag: inflation
Further Increase in Inflation launches Increase in Social Inequalities
While the global economy has not yet been able to leave the Covid-19 pandemic irrevocably behind and go unaffected, at the same time, distortions are being created in the global socio-economic context which will surely lead to negative developments. Given the very serious and persistent increase in raw material prices combined with the existing negative …
Inflation is Dynamically Back
Households and businesses in both the EU as well as in the US are now under strong inflationary pressures. The increase in inflationary pressures is directly related to the course of the pandemic. During 2020 because of the restrictive measures to tackle the pandemic Covid- 19 inflation fell. In the context of the international economic recovery, prices are rising …
When Real Interest Rates Are Lower Than Growth Rates Help Reduce Public Debt
After the end of World War II, short-term interest rates in the US were less than 1%, while T-Bond bonds with 10-year maturity yielded about 2% (https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/ERP-2012/pdf/ERP-2012-table73.pdf) with the US Federal Reserve, the Fed directly purchases Federal Government bonds from the US Treasury Department. At that time (1946) the US national debt reached 119% of …
Boosting Inflation in the EU is Accelerating the Implementation of New Fiscal and Monetary Policies
Both the ECB and especially the governments of the EU member states must deal with two serious issues after the further strengthening of inflation in the Eurozone. The pressure that is already being exerted and will continue to be exerted most strongly on the actual disposable income of households. In weakening the competitiveness of companies …
Commodity Prices Have Exceeded Pre-Pandemic Covid-19 Levels
All commodity prices are now above pre-Covid-19 levels. This is mainly due to pre-pandemic oversupply demand, further declining industrial productivity, supply chain problems, rising shipping costs and incessant demand from China. In the chart below we see the prices on a quarterly basis for WTI Crude Oil, corn, and Lean hogs with the sample starting …
ECB – Inflation Brings Changes to Monetary Policy
The ten-year record for euro area inflation – 3% in August from 2.2% in July and structural inflation (excluding energy and food) rose 1.6%, the highest since 2012 – is now key area of controversy and strong arguments for proponents of restrictive monetary policy. Their arguments are reinforced by the recently announced inflation in Germany …
In 4 Months Low the Price of Gold
On 9/08/2021 gold fell to 1684.37, recording a fall of 4.4% (the lowest price since 31/03/2021). The reasons that led investors to sell gold en masse have to do with their expectations regarding the future economic environment. More specifically: 1. Increased number of jobs in the US warn investors that the dollar is about to …
Eurozone Economy Returns to Strong Growth Trajectory but Still Has Obstacles to Overcome
The increased spending of European consumers by the increased liquidity that had accumulated due to the continuous economic shutdowns and lockdowns, gave a dynamic impetus to the field of retail, catering, and steadily increased factory production which has not yet reached pre-pandemic levels. As a result of these factors, Eurostat released data on Eurozone GDP, …
The Unchanged Interest Rates, The Dollar Price Slip and the Postponement of Tapering
The Fed, knowing the expectations of the markets, decided last Wednesday 28/7/2021 to maintain unchanged interest rates, while continuing at a steady pace its monetary policy through the purchase of government bonds and securitized mortgage bonds with the always existing monthly rate. The head of the Fed, Jerome Powell, accepted the fact that the American …