The global economy is at a critical crossroads, facing not only the familiar threats of trade wars and geopolitical turmoil, but also five profound, structural trends that threaten to radically reshape the planet. According to Trust Economics Chief Economist Thanos Chonthrogiannis, slower growth, escalating trade wars, tighter cross-border capital flows, and intensifying migration pressures are …
Tag: global economy
China’s Real Estate – A $18.9 Trillion Debt Bomb at the Foundation of the Global Economy
China is facing the most serious economic challenge in its modern history, as the ongoing collapse of the real estate market has triggered an unprecedented debt crisis, exposing the fragile foundations on which the “Chinese miracle” was built. Today, the debts of local governments and their financing vehicles (LGFVs) have soared to 134 trillion yuan, …
Five factors that scare Capital markets in the short term
Persistent inflation threatens to upset the Federal Reserve’s plans, the possibility of a sharp Nvidia correction is shaking the foundations of Big Tech, while the prospect of a new trade war from Donald Trump is creating intense geopolitical uncertainty. With data worsening and scenarios of instability multiplying, investors are looking for answers at a time …
Real estate crisis in the US and China creates panic in the global economy
The countdown to the global economy has begun, with the two largest real estate markets on the planet, China and the United States, cracking at the seams and bringing about a new 2008-style financial crisis. We are no longer talking about just a “bubble” that is ready to burst, but about a systemic disintegration. In …
The US-China currency war is putting the final nail in the coffin of the global economy
The U.S. economy has not faced such a tariff regime in nearly 80 years. It is in a situation without historical precedent and therefore without the possibility of “ready-made recipes.” Given the absence of recent historical precedent, the Federal Reserve is waiting for more evidence that consumer prices are not rising sharply due to tariffs …
The Global economy reaches the “limits of growth” closing a 200-year Global Wealth cycle – The new Historic Wealth cycle
The global economy is at a major crossroads, and we must prepare for rapid economic change. The world is moving from having enough goods and services for everyone to not having enough to meet needs. The dynamics of the economy are very different when there are not enough goods and services for everyone. The sought-after …
Trump tariffs will cause an unprecedented global crisis
A major slowdown in global growth is expected to be caused by US President Trump’s impending “tariff wall”. The recession will start with a dollar liquidity crisis in China and end with a crash in the US, as funding pressures circulate through the global banking system. Because China runs a large trade surplus with the …
Trust Economics: The “forecasts” for 2025 – Where should investors focus?
According to Trust Economics, there is a shift to a multipolar world, with prudent fiscal policies and higher interest rates than in the previous decade. The post-Global Financial Crisis environment of tight fiscal policy, zero interest rates and free global trade did not work to the benefit of the average citizen in the West, leading …
Neoliberalism is curtailing – Wars for raw materials and geopolitical power will change the planet
Future developments boil down to this: As long as it is possible to avoid direct hot wars between major powers that have emerged in the emerging geopolitical landscape, the main battlegrounds for geopolitical competition will be economics and technology. Today, all major world powers have started using protectionist measures that were rare during the era …
IMF: The US, a huge threat to the Global Economy – Bubbles that will burst the Markets
US budget deficits should not continue to expand in the coming decade, as they are reaching an unsustainable level that could even lead to a collapse of the global economy, the International Monetary Fund says. In particular, the IMF warned the US that its huge budget deficits have fueled inflation and pose “significant risks” to …