How much do bond markets want to drive us crazy, while those who are not involved in the subject give investment advice? At a time when Hurricane Trump has caused international turmoil through retaliatory tariffs and an underground currency war regarding the dollar exchange rate, the once-maligned European South is on the first… shelf of …
Tag: fiscal policy
Trump administration cuts borrowing costs in two ways: Musk’s DOGE in spending and cheaper energy
By sidelining the Federal Reserve in order to lower borrowing costs for Americans, the Donald Trump administration says it will reduce government spending and increase energy supplies. The payoff will be twofold: it will ease inflationary pressures and strengthen the economy’s fiscal position. While President Trump continues to urge the Fed to lower short-term interest …
Cutting interest rates early will cause hyperinflation
The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%, despite inflation still above its 2% target, apparently politically targeted, has disturbing similarities to the monetary policy mistakes of the late 1970s. Then, under pressure to stimulate economic activity, the Fed eased monetary …
How Can Fiscal Policy Tackle Stagflation?
Economic policy generally has many objectives. To increase income and employment, to keep prices stable, to ensure the sustainability of public finances, to provide adequate liquidity conditions and so on. Usually these goals relate to reactions to economic disturbances, such as an economic crisis, a pandemic, a war, or anything that threatens the financial well-being …
The Economic Conclusions of Tomorrow from the Pandemic of Today
World economic activity has reached its nadir due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Both governments and central banks responded with unprecedented fiscal liquidity measures (the former) and increased expansionary monetary policy combined with near-zero interest rates and mass securities markets (the latter). Combined with the easing measures of commercial banks taken by supervisors, they provided ample …
The “Therapeutic” Policies for the Economies of the Planet affected by the Covid-19 Pandemic
The global economic crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic is not simple to deal with, nor is it easy, because for the first time in peacetime both demand and supply are being affected at the same time in the affected economies». All economists worldwide are revising their estimates of the magnitude of the economic downturn …
Trust Economics Forecast for 2020
The end of 2019 varied the forecasts and found international bond and equity markets strong and higher price levels than at the beginning of 2020. The U.S. stock market index S&P 500 rose > 28,5%. Germany’s DAX stock market index rose > 26,15%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock market index rose > 19,02%. China’s SSBC stock …