The economic cycle we are experiencing is very different from most economic cycles we have experienced to date in our lifetimes. This means that we are in an income-led expansion, but also in an income-led consumption expansion, meaning that citizens in the US are enjoying wage growth of 6% per year, with personal consumption spending …
Tag: FED
The FED is on alert: In case a banking domino of bankruptcies begins
It seems that in the US the time has come for a wave of consolidation in the banking industry. A key program that kept US banks afloat ended last month, and everyone knew what that would mean. By the last Friday of April, the FDIC had taken Republic Bank’s assets and had already arranged to …
White House pushes FED for rate cuts and blows up 2% inflation target – Trump’s plan
New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said in a politically charged statement on Friday (5/3) that the US central bank needs independence from the White House in order to return inflation to its 2% target. The election cycle threatens the independence of monetary policy as pressure mounts for interest rate cuts to ease lending …
The vicious economic cycle continues
The fact that the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, in the range of 5.25% – 5.5%, was of no concern to US stocks. On the other hand, he continues, the promise not to reduce them and to continue monetary tightening exerted downward pressure on bond yields, with the yield of the 2nd falling by …
Excessive Public Debt is killing the Middle Income class – the “lifeblood” of Consumption
Every promise by politicians to increase public spending – and especially those concerning social transfers – resonates positively with voters. These promises may win elections, but what voters themselves should be asking is: Who pays the bill? The common narrative in the US that the debt is unsustainable which has a life of 40 years …
The mistakes of the US Federal Reserve may trigger a new wave of inflation
The mistakes of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which seems to be acting as an “extension” of the fiscal policy of the Democrats and the Joe Biden administration, will lead to an even greater erosion of the purchasing power of citizens through a spike in inflation. 1. The Bernanke-led Fed began quantitative easing just three …
A new moment is brewing for the US economy and the world
After nearly 15 years of cheap money fed by the Federal Reserve at zero interest rates, resulting in speculative bubbles of colossal proportions, it seems the lights have come on. A crisis in financial markets (especially credit markets) can be caused by a sudden and systemic collapse in asset prices – usually after a prolonged …
Hard austerity is coming with over-indebtedness and high inflation
The era of low interest rates and “easy money” is over, despite the dominant narrative in the international financial press of a new round of monetary policy easing that will return economies to pre-pandemic health crisis status and the prophecies of monetary policy makers policy that set the benchmark for monetary policy easing next June …
How do central banks embellish the image of the economy for the benefit of politicians?
Reports on both sides of the Atlantic of ending the current cycle of monetary easing as a central policy option were probably a smoke screen to cover up the poor state of the financial system. The analyzes that are circulating refer to the prospect that the Fed and the ECB return from the spring of …
Why is it a criminal mistake to bail out bankrupt banks?
Silvergate Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank collapsed like dominoes between March and April 2023. The United States Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) proceeded with a previous intervention in order to stop the transmission of the crisis to the regional banks and to the …