The very recent developments with the ceasefire and the prospect of an agreement between the US and Iran, provided they do not prove fragile, may allow for a more positive reassessment of the prospects, but the main question is the medium-term resilience of the European economy and its potential, given that external crises (such as …
Tag: eurozone
The Miracle of the Polish Economy without the Euro
Poland’s economy surpassed $1 trillion last year, capping decades of dynamic growth that contrasts sharply with the fragile economies of its much larger European neighbors, such as Germany or France. The milestone, confirmed by data released by the country’s statistics office on Friday (January 30), likely put Poland among the world’s top 20 economies by …
France: Borrowing – mammoth 310 billion euros in 2026 with emergency measures to avoid bankruptcy
The French government plans to borrow a record 310 billion euros from the markets in 2026 – despite starting the year without a fully voted state budget but with emergency fiscal arrangements. The move underscores how unprecedented debt and persistent deficits are setting the stage for a full-blown crisis, combined with a fractured parliament and …
IMF to EU: Reduce spending on health, education and abolish benefits, otherwise bankruptcy
Europe’s soaring public debt levels should prompt governments to rethink their role in delivering essential services to EU citizens, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which sees an urgent need to impose shock measures on economies that would overturn the famous European model. In a study published on Tuesday, November 4 (“Regional Economic Outlook …
US and China lead markets to hell in 2026
China’s economic slowdown is drawing a lot of attention in Manhattan boardrooms. While Asia’s largest economy is not faltering, its 4.8% growth rate in the third quarter—the slowest this year—is sending up warning signs everywhere. Even the positives come with (serious) asterisks. For now, external demand is keeping China on track for this year’s 5% …
Europe survived the public debt crisis but the hard euro will kill it – Export collapse
The European financial landscape is currently facing a powerful combination of factors that are causing concern in its banking sector and beyond – it has sounded the alarm even though this has not been seen in what the established financial media is reporting. Despite statements by Brussels officials about an “opportunity for the euro” to …
Clouds over the Eurozone labour market – Due to US tariffs
The Eurozone labor market is in a period of slowdown, as it is affected by a number of economic and geopolitical factors. New tariffs from the US, low corporate profitability and uncertainty over monetary policy create a challenging environment in which employment growth is slowing. However, despite the pressures, the market remains resilient, as companies …
The Japanese sold off 41 billion of Eurozone debt in 6 months, leading to a generalized sell-off in bonds
Japanese investors have sold off eurozone government debt at the fastest pace in a decade, suggesting that the move by one of the major holders of European debt could lead to a sharp sell-off in the market. Gross online sales by Japanese buyers rose to 41 billion euros in the six months to November, the …
The Modern American Economic Supremacy
Cessation of interest rate increases by the central banks of America and Europe at different heights, 4% in the Eurozone and 5.25-5.50% in the US, but also, above all, in a different situation regarding the pace of economic activity. It is perhaps something that not many have commented on, although of course the conditions are …
Emerging Stagnant-inflation in the Eurozone/EU & USA
Inflation begins to make a threatening appearance in the EU and US since last summer due to a combination of dynamic economic recovery in COVID-19 conditions, serious problems in international trade and supply chains and upward trend in international oil and mainly gas prices. Inflation had reached high levels before the Russian invasion of Ukraine. …