The economic cycle we are experiencing is very different from most economic cycles we have experienced to date in our lifetimes. This means that we are in an income-led expansion, but also in an income-led consumption expansion, meaning that citizens in the US are enjoying wage growth of 6% per year, with personal consumption spending …
Tag: economy
The European economy will die a slow death day by day – Unless something changes immediately
Europe’s economic underperformance has long worried politicians. But the problem has climbed to the top of the debate agenda now that the development gap with the US has widened, following the twin shocks of the coronavirus pandemic and Russia’s war in Ukraine. Last month, French President Emmanuel Macron warned that Europe faces a “mortal” threat …
The BRICS prepare a Central Bank and buy gold to support the common currency
China, backed by Russia and South Africa, is planning the final assault on the still-strong dollar by introducing a new currency, to be issued by a BRICS central bank that will combine the strengths of the respective currencies of the five largest economies join the group. At the same time, the replacement of the dollar …
Inflation – Recession nightmare returns for stockholders
Journalists in the financial press often speak of a Goldilocks economy (“not too hot, not too cold”) in tribute to the Fed’s finesse in manipulating interest rates. They also use the term “soft landing” because the Fed is supposed to manage to tame inflation without causing a recession. However, these narratives, in fact, have no …
Excessive Public Debt is killing the Middle Income class – the “lifeblood” of Consumption
Every promise by politicians to increase public spending – and especially those concerning social transfers – resonates positively with voters. These promises may win elections, but what voters themselves should be asking is: Who pays the bill? The common narrative in the US that the debt is unsustainable which has a life of 40 years …
Weak development and the Global financial system with multiple problems
After the great financial crisis of 2007 – 2008, regulatory authorities, worldwide, are engaged in continuous efforts to remove, in every way, financial risks. However, mistakes on their part are not lacking. A typical example is the crisis of regional banks in the USA, which was triggered by Silicon Valley Bank, which until that time …
The mistakes of the US Federal Reserve may trigger a new wave of inflation
The mistakes of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which seems to be acting as an “extension” of the fiscal policy of the Democrats and the Joe Biden administration, will lead to an even greater erosion of the purchasing power of citizens through a spike in inflation. 1. The Bernanke-led Fed began quantitative easing just three …
A new moment is brewing for the US economy and the world
After nearly 15 years of cheap money fed by the Federal Reserve at zero interest rates, resulting in speculative bubbles of colossal proportions, it seems the lights have come on. A crisis in financial markets (especially credit markets) can be caused by a sudden and systemic collapse in asset prices – usually after a prolonged …
Inflation persistent
With monetary and economic policy deadlocked, the White House is now officially throwing in the towel and admitting that the fight against inflation has been lost – almost ruling out monetary easing as evidenced by the fact that the Federal Reserve Reserve despite strong political pressures due to the election cycle kept interest rates unchanged. …
The real picture of the US economy is bleak
The global financial system is gradually preparing for an earthquake of historic proportions which this time will not be caused by an internal crisis – like in 2008/2009 – but its cause is related to the significant shifts in the geopolitical power balances with the end of globalization under American hegemony. This is not something …