Recent developments in the Middle East are a stark reminder that geopolitical tension can, almost overnight, translate into energy insecurity, trade disruptions, inflationary costs, and heightened financial uncertainty. These changes affect not just the general economic climate, but the very core of strategic and investment decisions: the way boards, investment committees, and senior executives evaluate …
Tag: crisis
How can a country (i.e. USA) with huge debt be saved by restarting its Economy without causing Social chaos?
What is the invisible foundation of the narrative about the depreciation of the US dollar? Let us recall that it is a key goal of the Trump 2.0 administration to address the fiscal derailment and the persistent trade deficits. The Winners and the Losers This leads to the following reasoning: if those who hold the …
FED: Only 1.5% of $1.5 trillion in deposits can be returned to depositors in case of bank crisis
In a recent study, the US Federal Reserve came to a shocking conclusion that did not dominate the headlines of the financial press: the regulatory reforms that targeted large banks after the financial crisis and aimed to assess their risk more strictly did not reduce the risk to the solvency of the banking system. In …
The Gold frenzy heralds the Great collapse
Since ancient times, philosophers have used the image of the circle to illustrate the great question of life: only by seeing the circle fully can you understand its arcs — and vice versa. The same is true for the global economy, which now appears to be collapsing systemically, through specific phases and crisis points called …
Real estate crisis in the US and China creates panic in the global economy
The countdown to the global economy has begun, with the two largest real estate markets on the planet, China and the United States, cracking at the seams and bringing about a new 2008-style financial crisis. We are no longer talking about just a “bubble” that is ready to burst, but about a systemic disintegration. In …
GDP growth is an illusion, governments are spending irresponsibly
The numbers may look positive, but behind the statistics, Western economies are already in recession, warns Trust Economics in its analysis, emphasizing that “growth” is nothing more than a fiscal illusion, based on a surge in government deficits and not on a real increase in economic activity in the private sector. Subtract government deficits from …
The bursting of a bubble that no one has seen yet
The collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 was symbolic of a deep global financial crisis, centered on the housing bubble and subprime mortgages. Increasing natural disasters are straining insurance companies, leading to policy cancellations, rising premiums, and ultimately falling property prices. More and more areas in the U.S. are losing their insurance coverage, which in …
Nine indicators that indicate a high probability of an economic crisis in the United States
The financialization of the economy in the last quarter of the 20th century created a global “bubble” that is now bursting, starting with the United States. The 2008/2009 financial crisis in the United States and then the debt crisis in the Eurozone, with Greece as the main protagonist, were apparently only the first episodes of …
Trump tariffs will cause an unprecedented global crisis
A major slowdown in global growth is expected to be caused by US President Trump’s impending “tariff wall”. The recession will start with a dollar liquidity crisis in China and end with a crash in the US, as funding pressures circulate through the global banking system. Because China runs a large trade surplus with the …
Why will the recession bomb explode in Trump’s hands?
The U.S. stock market’s downward trend appears to be continuing, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 down 4% and 6% respectively since the beginning of the year. And that’s just one of many signs that should prompt any sensible business leader, investor or policymaker to start preparing for an economic slowdown …