The war in Ukraine after the Russian invasion has been going on for more than 900 days, and since then, China and Russia have strengthened their economic and defense ties. Under the radar of the West, however, economic relations could expand even further in the future – with the help of an old (as old …
Category: Proposed Fiscal Policies
fiscal analysis
China is already 33% larger than the US in terms of GDP (including shadow economy), while India is also threatening
China’s GDP is already significantly larger than the US economy, contrary to official figures given by governments or organizations such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which do not include important parameters such as the “black economy” or the measurement of GDP in purchasing power parity terms. Translating the following into …
China’s Central Bank (POBC) can cause Global hyperinflation
With all the economic news focus on the Federa Reserve and the Bank of Japan, it’s easy to miss where the most important monetary decisions will take place this year: It’s Beijing. Certainly, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday July 31 that important decisions are coming. A rate cut in September is “on the …
BRICS: The new global financial order will be achieved by removing sanctions, using cryptos, gold and de-dollarization
Russia will soon turn to cryptocurrencies as the most convenient method to circumvent the heavy international sanctions that have affected the economy amid its ongoing war efforts in Ukraine. “We are taking a historic decision in the financial sector,” said Anatoly Aksakov, head of the lower house, according to Reuters. The State Duma approved the …
A move away from the dollar could hurt the Εconomies of Russia, China and India
Despite the ongoing movement, the dominance of the dollar is unlikely to disappear easily and quickly, given how pervasive the dollar is in financial markets. De-dollarization cannot happen at a rapid pace because the infrastructure required to make it happen is extremely daunting because all governments and countries will have to change the way they …
Why does the imposition of tariffs create few jobs in the countries that impose them?
The US presidential contenders seem to agree on one thing: Both Donald Trump and Joe Biden have imposed high tariffs on imported goods made in China and other countries. These kinds of protectionist policies are a departure from the policies of the previous half century that favored “free trade” (less or minimal government intervention in …
ECB: Inverted Bond yield curve warns of coming pain and 2008-style recession
The possibility of a major financial crisis, similar to the one that occurred when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt in 2008, is increasing day by day. An important indicator in this regard is the inverted yield curve of US bonds, which is historically associated with recessions. As an example, it is worth noting that from the …
Trump Presidency 2.0: The Dollar will be sacrificed to deal with the huge Public Debt
The US must abandon its “mammoth deficits” if it is to keep US debt levels manageable for decades to come. The over-indebted US economy can no longer bear, in the context of geopolitical realignments, to support the “excessive monetary privilege” of the dollar, and in order for the new presidency of Donald Trump not to …
After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?
The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
BRICS build wheat market and threaten the West
The global South’s drive to de-dollarize global trade doesn’t just involve the oil or energy goods sector – after Saudi Arabia’s commitment to trade energy goods in US currency (the well-known petrodollar) ends. As these states are world leaders in the commodity market, they are attempting to expand the economic fields in which transactions will …