For the first time this century, China’s role has shifted from a major provider of capital, primarily to developing economies, to a lender that claims to service debt. This shift will have far-reaching implications for global credit conditions. It could fuel instability in many parts of the world and lead countries into strategic geopolitical realignments. …
Category: Developing Economies
analysis for Developing economies
Russia: Oil – natural gas with Bitcoin and foreign exchange reserves in digital gold
Bitcoin and the BRICS group are seen as weapons to reduce Russia’s dependence on the dollar, according to President Vladimir Putin’s monetary strategy. Due to the inability to access the global financial system and international markets, Russia has to choose alternatives, such as trading in local currencies of allied states and even using its gold …
The Central Bank of Russia keeps the key interest rate unchanged for 2025!
At the last meeting of the Board of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation this year, it was decided to leave the key interest rate unchanged – at the level of 21%. This came as a surprise: most analysts were confident that the regulator would continue to tighten monetary policy and increase the index …
China is turning its economy into a war economy to achieve global domination
Drones have already become a primary weapon, capable of taking out soldiers and tanks, as well as helping to spot artillery fire and provide a standard method of battlefield reconnaissance. Electronic warfare — the use of EM signals to disrupt drones’ communication with their pilots and GPS satellites — provides some protection against drones for …
Russia will spend $535.5 million to replenish its reserves of precious metals – dedollarization
The question is whether a central bank – systematically indulging in unprecedented purchases of gold – can have the same strategy in other precious metals. The Russian government is considering spending 51 billion rubles ($535.5 million) over the next three years to replenish its reserves of precious metals. The figures come from figures in the …
Russia’s unknown movements in metals
Last week an article by the Russian news agency Interfax reported that the State Fund of Russia plans to acquire gold, silver, platinum, palladium and precious stones. Russia’s decision to add silver to its reserves sets it apart from most other central banks, which have focused heavily on hoarding gold while neglecting silver. Along with …
Global economic turmoil and geopolitical crisis since the Chinese recession
China is teetering on the brink of recession — excluding the Covid era, for the first time since 2008 — as new data showed industrial production shrank for a fourth straight month while new orders data was particularly weak. The above data are indications that China’s economic model, which was based on Simply put, weak …
Rising MFO Lending Creates Bubble in Russian Economy
On the face of it, for Russia its “war economy” has ostentatiously turned its “back” on Western sanctions, while the war in Ukraine is in its third year, with no end in sight. Its GDP grew by 3.6% in 2023, having been consistently positive for the past five quarters. Thanks to Russia’s broken alliance with …
Barter Economy between Russia-China to Defeat Western Sanctions
The war in Ukraine after the Russian invasion has been going on for more than 900 days, and since then, China and Russia have strengthened their economic and defense ties. Under the radar of the West, however, economic relations could expand even further in the future – with the help of an old (as old …
China is already 33% larger than the US in terms of GDP (including shadow economy), while India is also threatening
China’s GDP is already significantly larger than the US economy, contrary to official figures given by governments or organizations such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which do not include important parameters such as the “black economy” or the measurement of GDP in purchasing power parity terms. Translating the following into …