2024 was the year in which the huge US budget deficit was supposed to have gradually leveled off after two years of crisis. The US was supposed to end the spending spree. All this, on a theoretical level. As of August, the US deficit has exceeded that of 2023. What does the evidence say?
Category: US
proposed fiscal policies for US economies
The Major risks to the future of the Dollar as a Global Reserve Currency
On February 24, 2022, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine shocked the world, sparking one of the biggest conflicts in Europe since World War II. At the same time, not only a geopolitical realignment of power is taking place, but also a reversal of the post-war Western-imposed monetary peace with the dollar becoming a contested currency and …
Kamala Harris’ $2.25 tril. “Money Tree”, and Economic Populism
The socialist recipe for economic failure: Price controls, higher taxes, government intervention and subsidies paid for by printing an ever-depreciating currency. These are the main pillars of “21st century socialism” and the radical leftist Peronism that destroyed Argentina. These are also the key elements of the economic plan presented by Kamala Harris and the Democratic …
FED “Monetary Coup” by Manipulating Yield Curve To Elect Harris
Black Monday, August 5th was a powerful reminder to investors that the stock markets don’t just… go up, they sometimes go down. It wasn’t the end of the world. Wall Street’s 3.0% drop on a daily basis is a big deal, but it doesn’t compare to October 1929, when the stock market fell 21% in …
Why does the imposition of tariffs create few jobs in the countries that impose them?
The US presidential contenders seem to agree on one thing: Both Donald Trump and Joe Biden have imposed high tariffs on imported goods made in China and other countries. These kinds of protectionist policies are a departure from the policies of the previous half century that favored “free trade” (less or minimal government intervention in …
Trump Presidency 2.0: The Dollar will be sacrificed to deal with the huge Public Debt
The US must abandon its “mammoth deficits” if it is to keep US debt levels manageable for decades to come. The over-indebted US economy can no longer bear, in the context of geopolitical realignments, to support the “excessive monetary privilege” of the dollar, and in order for the new presidency of Donald Trump not to …
After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?
The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
The FED is sacrificing inflation to keep the bond market from collapsing
The US Federal Reserve is in a race to prevent an imminent collapse in the US government bond market. High US debt yields are artificially kept at these levels as the Fed maintains demand by increasing the money supply in the economy – that is, by printing dollars and trying to control the bond yield …
How do Governments cause Inflation and pretend they are fighting the high Cost of living?
In the present analysis, we will show the way in which governments cause inflation and pretend to fight for accuracy. The new announcement of a 2.8% increase in the core personal spending index in the US, the Fed’s preferred measure, gives us the trigger to proceed with the downward analysis. This is the key indicator …
Excessive Public Debt is killing the Middle Income class – the “lifeblood” of Consumption
Every promise by politicians to increase public spending – and especially those concerning social transfers – resonates positively with voters. These promises may win elections, but what voters themselves should be asking is: Who pays the bill? The common narrative in the US that the debt is unsustainable which has a life of 40 years …