After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?

The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …

Weak development and the Global financial system with multiple problems

After the great financial crisis of 2007 – 2008, regulatory authorities, worldwide, are engaged in continuous efforts to remove, in every way, financial risks. However, mistakes on their part are not lacking. A typical example is the crisis of regional banks in the USA, which was triggered by Silicon Valley Bank, which until that time …

The next financial crisis in Europe will start from France and Italy

In recent years, a new type of crisis has been dynamically emerging in Europe: a crisis of the European social and political model with profound consequences for fiscal and financial stability. France’s problem The big problem starts with exceeding the budget deficits in France and Italy, over 7% and over 5% for 2024 respectively. These …

Hard austerity is coming with over-indebtedness and high inflation

The era of low interest rates and “easy money” is over, despite the dominant narrative in the international financial press of a new round of monetary policy easing that will return economies to pre-pandemic health crisis status and the prophecies of monetary policy makers policy that set the benchmark for monetary policy easing next June …

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